DAU vs RYB
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 15, 2018 · SC Lokomotiv Daugavpils, Daugavpils
Results
- 9Kasts Puodzuks3 1 0 3 07
- 10Jevgenijs Kostigovs0 0 22
- 11Vadim Tarasenko1 1 02
- 12Timo Lahti0 3 3 3 2 112+1
- 13Peter Ljung1 2 1 2 28+1
- 14Davis Kurmis0 0 11
- 15Olegs Mihailovs3 3 3 3 315
- 1Artur Czaja2 2 0 2 W6
- 2Andriy Karpov1 0 2 D3+1
- 3Troy Batchelor3 3 3 1 313
- 4Mateusz Szczepaniak2 1 1 1 W5+1
- 5Kacper Woryna2 3 1 0 28+2
- 6Lars Skupien2 2 T4+1
- 7Robert Chmiel1 0 23+1
Heat by heat
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU3
- Artur Czaja · RYB2
- Andriy Karpov · RYB1*
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU0
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU3
- Lars Skupien · RYB2
- Robert Chmiel · RYB1*
- Davis Kurmis · DAU0
- Troy Batchelor · RYB3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · RYB2*
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU1
- Timo Lahti · DAU0
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU3
- Kacper Woryna · RYB2
- Peter Ljung · DAU1
- Robert Chmiel · RYB0
- Timo Lahti · DAU3
- Artur Czaja · RYB2
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU1
- Andriy Karpov · RYB0
- Troy Batchelor · RYB3
- Peter Ljung · DAU2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · RYB1
- Davis Kurmis · DAU0
- Kacper Woryna · RYB3
- Lars Skupien · RYB2*
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU1
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU0
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU3
- Andriy Karpov · RYB2
- Peter Ljung · DAU1
- Artur Czaja · RYB0
- Troy Batchelor · RYB3
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · RYB1
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU0
- Timo Lahti · DAU3
- Robert Chmiel · RYB2
- Kacper Woryna · RYB1*
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU0
- Timo Lahti · DAU3
- Peter Ljung · DAU2*
- Troy Batchelor · RYB1
- Andriy Karpov · RYBD
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU3
- Artur Czaja · RYB2
- Davis Kurmis · DAU1
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU3
- Timo Lahti · DAU2*
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · RYB1
- Kacper Woryna · RYB0
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU3
- Peter Ljung · DAU2
- Troy Batchelor · RYB3
- Kacper Woryna · RYB2*
- Timo Lahti · DAU1
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 19 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 8 km/h W
- gusts up to 29 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 2.4 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 46 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 5 | +1 | −1 | |
| DAU | RYB | DAU | RYB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead DAU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | -6 | 18 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | -6 | 20 % |
| 10 | -6 | 15 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | 0 | 57 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +9 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olegs Mihailovs | 5 | 6.1 | 15 | +8.9 |
| Troy Batchelor | 5 | 8.9 | 13 | +4.1 |
| Timo Lahti | 6 | 8.7 | 12 | +3.3 |
| Lars Skupien | 3 | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| Robert Chmiel | 3 | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Kasts Puodzuks | 5 | 7.1 | 7 | -0.1 |
| Jevgenijs Kostigovs | 3 | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Peter Ljung | 5 | 8.8 | 8 | -0.8 |
| Davis Kurmis | 3 | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 3 | 4.3 | 2 | -2.3 |
| Kacper Woryna | 5 | 10.4 | 8 | -2.4 |
| Artur Czaja | 5 | 8.7 | 6 | -2.7 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 5 | 8.4 | 5 | -3.4 |
| Andriy Karpov | 4 | 6.5 | 3 | -3.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.