RYB vs LUB
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 16, 2018 · Stadion Miejski, Rybnik
Results
- 9Troy Batchelor0 1 T 12+2
- 10Andriy Karpov3 2 W 2 310
- 11Andzejs Lebedevs1 W 3 3 18
- 12Mateusz Szczepaniak3 1 1 2 29+1
- 13Kacper Woryna1 3 2 1 310+3
- 14Robert Chmiel1 0 23+1
- 15Lars Skupien3 2 3 210
- 1Dawid Lampart1 3 0 W4+1
- 2Paweł Miesiąc2 2 1 3 0 D8+1
- 3Joel Kling2 2 1 05
- 4Robert Lambert0 1 3 3 18+1
- 5Andreas Jonsson3 3 2 0 210
- 6Wiktor Lampart2 0 13
- 7Kacper Konieczny0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Andriy Karpov · RYB3
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB2
- Dawid Lampart · LUB1*
- Troy Batchelor · RYB0
- Lars Skupien · RYB3
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB2
- Robert Chmiel · RYB1
- Kacper Konieczny · LUB0
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · RYB3
- Joel Kling · LUB2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · RYB1
- Robert Lambert · LUB0
- Andreas Jonsson · LUB3
- Lars Skupien · RYB2
- Kacper Woryna · RYB1*
- Kacper Konieczny · LUB0
- Dawid Lampart · LUB3
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB2*
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · RYB1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · RYBW
- Kacper Woryna · RYB3
- Joel Kling · LUB2
- Robert Lambert · LUB1*
- Robert Chmiel · RYB0
- Andreas Jonsson · LUB3
- Andriy Karpov · RYB2
- Troy Batchelor · RYB1*
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB0
- Lars Skupien · RYB3
- Kacper Woryna · RYB2*
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB1
- Dawid Lampart · LUB0
- Robert Lambert · LUB3
- Lars Skupien · RYB2
- Joel Kling · LUB1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · RYB3
- Andreas Jonsson · LUB2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · RYB1
- Kacper Konieczny · LUB0
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB3
- Andriy Karpov · RYB2
- Kacper Woryna · RYB1*
- Joel Kling · LUB0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · RYB3
- Robert Chmiel · RYB2*
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB1
- Robert Lambert · LUB3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · RYB2
- Troy Batchelor · RYB1*
- Andreas Jonsson · LUB0
- Andriy Karpov · RYB3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · RYB2*
- Robert Lambert · LUB1
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB0
- Kacper Woryna · RYB3
- Andreas Jonsson · LUB2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · RYB1
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUBD
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 20 → 21 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 6 km/h S
- gusts up to 13 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 46 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| RYB | LUB | RYB | LUB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead RYB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lars Skupien | 4 | 4.5 | 10 | +5.5 |
| Andriy Karpov | 5 | 7.0 | 10 | +3.0 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 5 | 6.7 | 9 | +2.3 |
| Joel Kling | 4 | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
| Kacper Woryna | 5 | 9.5 | 10 | +0.5 |
| Robert Chmiel | 3 | 3.0 | 3 | -0.0 |
| Paweł Miesiąc | 6 | 8.2 | 8 | -0.2 |
| Andreas Jonsson | 5 | 10.3 | 10 | -0.3 |
| Kacper Konieczny | 3 | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 5 | 9.3 | 8 | -1.3 |
| Dawid Lampart | 4 | 5.7 | 4 | -1.7 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 3 | 5.5 | 3 | -2.5 |
| Troy Batchelor | 3 | 4.8 | 2 | -2.8 |
| Robert Lambert | 5 | 11.0 | 8 | -3.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.