LUB vs DAU
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, September 8, 2018 · Best Auto Arena, Lublin
Results
- 9Dawid Lampart2 1 3 06+1
- 10Joel Kling3 3 2 1 211+2
- 11Paweł Miesiąc2 1 2 3 311+2
- 12Robert Lambert3 2 1 3 09+1
- 13Andreas Jonsson2 3 3 2 111+1
- 14Kacper Konieczny0 1 01
- 15Wiktor Lampart3 3 06
- 1Timo Lahti1 3 2 2 210+1
- 2Vadim Tarasenko0 0 1 34+1
- 3Kasts Puodzuks1 2 0 D3
- 4Jevgenijs Kostigovs0 D 1 12+1
- 5Peter Ljung1 2 3 2 311
- 6Artjoms Trofimovs2 0 1 03+1
- 7Olegs Mihailovs1 0 0 12+1
Heat by heat
- Joel Kling · LUB3
- Dawid Lampart · LUB2*
- Timo Lahti · DAU1
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU0
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB3
- Artjoms Trofimovs · DAU2
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU1*
- Kacper Konieczny · LUB0
- Robert Lambert · LUB3
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB2*
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU1
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU0
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB3
- Andreas Jonsson · LUB2*
- Peter Ljung · DAU1
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU0
- Timo Lahti · DAU3
- Robert Lambert · LUB2
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB1*
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU0
- Andreas Jonsson · LUB3
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU2
- Kacper Konieczny · LUB1
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAUD
- Joel Kling · LUB3
- Peter Ljung · DAU2
- Dawid Lampart · LUB1
- Artjoms Trofimovs · DAU0
- Andreas Jonsson · LUB3
- Timo Lahti · DAU2
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU1*
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB0
- Dawid Lampart · LUB3
- Joel Kling · LUB2*
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU1
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU0
- Peter Ljung · DAU3
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB2
- Robert Lambert · LUB1*
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU0
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU3
- Andreas Jonsson · LUB2
- Joel Kling · LUB1
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAUD
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB3
- Timo Lahti · DAU2
- Artjoms Trofimovs · DAU1*
- Kacper Konieczny · LUB0
- Robert Lambert · LUB3
- Peter Ljung · DAU2
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU1*
- Dawid Lampart · LUB0
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB3
- Joel Kling · LUB2*
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU1
- Artjoms Trofimovs · DAU0
- Peter Ljung · DAU3
- Timo Lahti · DAU2*
- Andreas Jonsson · LUB1
- Robert Lambert · LUB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 23 → 17 °C
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Wind
- 11 km/h NE
- gusts up to 13 km/h
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 2.1 mm
- Possible showers: a second model has the day dry
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 65 %
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 18 | 6 | +12 | −12 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| LUB | DAU | LUB | DAU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LUB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +12 | 96 % |
| 5 | +12 | 97 % |
| 6 | +14 | 99 % |
| 7 | +16 | 100 % |
| 8 | +16 | 100 % |
| 9 | +20 | 100 % |
| 10 | +20 | 100 % |
| 11 | +20 | 100 % |
| 12 | +20 | 100 % |
| 13 | +20 | 100 % |
| 14 | +24 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Kling | 5 | 4.4 | 11 | +6.6 |
| Paweł Miesiąc | 5 | 7.5 | 11 | +3.5 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 3 | 5.0 | 6 | +1.0 |
| Andreas Jonsson | 5 | 10.2 | 11 | +0.8 |
| Timo Lahti | 5 | 9.2 | 10 | +0.8 |
| Peter Ljung | 5 | 10.4 | 11 | +0.6 |
| Kacper Konieczny | 3 | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| Dawid Lampart | 4 | 6.8 | 6 | -0.8 |
| Robert Lambert | 5 | 10.1 | 9 | -1.1 |
| Jevgenijs Kostigovs | 4 | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 4 | 5.3 | 4 | -1.3 |
| Artjoms Trofimovs | 4 | 4.7 | 3 | -1.7 |
| Olegs Mihailovs | 4 | 5.2 | 2 | -3.2 |
| Kasts Puodzuks | 4 | 6.4 | 3 | -3.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.