PIL vs RYB
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 26, 2018 · ASTA ARENA, Piła
Results
- 9Tomas H Jonasson2 2 3 1 1 211+1
- 10Pontus Aspgren3 0 03
- 11Adrian Cyfer0 1 2 25
- 12Tomasz Gapiński1 3 1 3 0 08+1
- 13Rafał Okoniewski3 2 W 2 310
- 14Patryk Fajfer2 0 D2
- 15Piotr Gryszpiński0 0 11
- 1Troy Batchelor1 2 3 3 211
- 2Artur Czaja0 0 W0
- 3Andzejs Lebedevs2 3 2 3 111+1
- 4Mateusz Szczepaniak3 1 1 0 16+2
- 5Kacper Woryna1 3 3 2 312+1
- 6Lars Skupien1 1 W2
- 7Robert Chmiel3 2 2 07+1
Heat by heat
- Pontus Aspgren · PIL3
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIL2*
- Troy Batchelor · RYB1
- Artur Czaja · RYB0
- Robert Chmiel · RYB3
- Patryk Fajfer · PIL2
- Lars Skupien · RYB1
- Piotr Gryszpiński · PIL0
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · RYB3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · RYB2*
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL1
- Adrian Cyfer · PIL0
- Rafał Okoniewski · PIL3
- Robert Chmiel · RYB2
- Kacper Woryna · RYB1*
- Piotr Gryszpiński · PIL0
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL3
- Troy Batchelor · RYB2
- Adrian Cyfer · PIL1
- Artur Czaja · RYB0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · RYB3
- Rafał Okoniewski · PIL2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · RYB1
- Patryk Fajfer · PIL0
- Kacper Woryna · RYB3
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIL2
- Lars Skupien · RYB1
- Pontus Aspgren · PIL0
- Troy Batchelor · RYB3
- Robert Chmiel · RYB2*
- Piotr Gryszpiński · PIL1
- Rafał Okoniewski · PILW
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIL3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · RYB2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · RYB1*
- Pontus Aspgren · PIL0
- Kacper Woryna · RYB3
- Adrian Cyfer · PIL2
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL1*
- Robert Chmiel · RYB0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · RYB3
- Rafał Okoniewski · PIL2
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIL1
- Troy Batchelor · RYB3
- Adrian Cyfer · PIL2
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL3
- Kacper Woryna · RYB2
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIL1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · RYB0
- Rafał Okoniewski · PIL3
- Troy Batchelor · RYB2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · RYB1*
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL0
- Kacper Woryna · RYB3
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIL2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · RYB1
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 18 → 19 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 10 km/h W
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 45 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 8 | +1 | −1 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| PIL | RYB | PIL | RYB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead PIL
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -8 | 12 % |
| 9 | -8 | 12 % |
| 10 | -8 | 5 % |
| 11 | -8 | 8 % |
| 12 | -9 | 7 % |
| 13 | -7 | 4 % |
| 14 | -7 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kacper Woryna | 5 | 8.7 | 12 | +3.3 |
| Robert Chmiel | 4 | 4.4 | 7 | +2.6 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 5 | 9.1 | 11 | +1.9 |
| Tomas H Jonasson | 6 | 10.3 | 11 | +0.7 |
| Adrian Cyfer | 4 | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| Troy Batchelor | 5 | 10.8 | 11 | +0.2 |
| Rafał Okoniewski | 5 | 9.9 | 10 | +0.1 |
| Patryk Fajfer | 3 | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 5 | 6.6 | 6 | -0.6 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 6 | 8.9 | 8 | -0.9 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 3 | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| Piotr Gryszpiński | 3 | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 |
| Lars Skupien | 3 | 4.2 | 2 | -2.2 |
| Artur Czaja | 3 | 3.2 | 0 | -3.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.