DAU vs GNI
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Friday, August 24, 2018 · SC Lokomotiv Daugavpils, Daugavpils
Results
- 9Timo Lahti3 2 3 3 314
- 10Jevgenijs Kostigovs2 0 2 W4+2
- 11Kasts Puodzuks1 2 W 2 27+1
- 12Vadim Tarasenko3 T 3 1 18
- 13Peter Ljung3 1 D 3 310
- 14Artjoms Trofimovs1 0 01
- 15Olegs Mihailovs2 2 1 16+1
- 1Jurica Pavlic1 3 2 3 211+1
- 2Mirosław Jabłoński0 W 3 1 15
- 3Kim Nilsson0 2 D 24+1
- 4Oliver Berntzon2 3 1 D 06
- 5Adrian Gała1 3 2 2 D8
- 6Norbert KrakowiakW 1 12
- 7Maksymilian Bogdanowicz3 0 W3
Heat by heat
- Timo Lahti · DAU3
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU2*
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI1
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI0
- Maksymilian Bogdanowicz · GNI3
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU2
- Artjoms Trofimovs · DAU1
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU3
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI2
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU1
- Kim Nilsson · GNI0
- Peter Ljung · DAU3
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU2*
- Adrian Gała · GNI1
- Maksymilian Bogdanowicz · GNI0
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI3
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU2
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU1
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI3
- Kim Nilsson · GNI2*
- Peter Ljung · DAU1
- Artjoms Trofimovs · DAU0
- Adrian Gała · GNI3
- Timo Lahti · DAU2
- Norbert Krakowiak · GNI1
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU0
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI3
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI2*
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU1
- Peter Ljung · DAUD
- Timo Lahti · DAU3
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU2*
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI1
- Kim Nilsson · GNID
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU3
- Adrian Gała · GNI2
- Peter Ljung · DAU3
- Kim Nilsson · GNI2
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI1
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI3
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU2
- Norbert Krakowiak · GNI1
- Artjoms Trofimovs · DAU0
- Timo Lahti · DAU3
- Adrian Gała · GNI2
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU1
- Oliver Berntzon · GNID
- Peter Ljung · DAU3
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU2*
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI1
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI0
- Timo Lahti · DAU3
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI2
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU1
- Adrian Gała · GNID
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 26 → 21 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 18 km/h S
- gusts up to 35 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 58 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 7 | +10 | −10 | |
| 5–7 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 8 | +1 | −1 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| DAU | GNI | DAU | GNI | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead DAU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +10 | 98 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +5 | 92 % |
| 11 | +5 | 92 % |
| 12 | +3 | 86 % |
| 13 | +5 | 96 % |
| 14 | +9 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timo Lahti | 5 | 9.2 | 14 | +4.8 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 4 | 5.5 | 8 | +2.5 |
| Jevgenijs Kostigovs | 4 | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| Jurica Pavlic | 5 | 9.8 | 11 | +1.2 |
| Olegs Mihailovs | 4 | 5.2 | 6 | +0.8 |
| Kasts Puodzuks | 5 | 6.5 | 7 | +0.5 |
| Adrian Gała | 5 | 8.0 | 8 | -0.0 |
| Maksymilian Bogdanowicz | 3 | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Peter Ljung | 5 | 10.5 | 10 | -0.5 |
| Mirosław Jabłoński | 5 | 6.2 | 5 | -1.2 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 3 | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| Artjoms Trofimovs | 3 | 3.1 | 1 | -2.1 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 5 | 9.4 | 6 | -3.4 |
| Kim Nilsson | 4 | 7.4 | 4 | -3.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.