GNI vs LUB
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 19, 2018 · Stadion Miejski im. płk. Franciszka Hynka, Gniezno
Results
- 9Jurica Pavlic2 3 2 1 311
- 10Mirosław Jabłoński1 0 1 35+2
- 11Kim Nilsson1 1 3 3 19
- 12Oliver Berntzon3 D 2 3 08+1
- 13Adrian Gała2 2 2 2 08+1
- 14Maksymilian Bogdanowicz3 U U3
- 15Norbert Krakowiak2 1 03+1
- 1Dawid Lampart3 2 1 1 310+1
- 2Paweł Miesiąc0 3 3 1 18+1
- 3Sam Masters0 3 0 03
- 4Robert Lambert2 1 3 2 210+1
- 5Andreas Jonsson3 2 1 06
- 6Wiktor Lampart1 1 2 26+1
Heat by heat
- Dawid Lampart · LUB3
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI2
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI1*
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB0
- Maksymilian Bogdanowicz · GNI3
- Norbert Krakowiak · GNI2*
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB1
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI3
- Robert Lambert · LUB2
- Kim Nilsson · GNI1
- Sam Masters · LUB0
- Andreas Jonsson · LUB3
- Adrian Gała · GNI2
- Norbert Krakowiak · GNI1
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB3
- Dawid Lampart · LUB2*
- Kim Nilsson · GNI1
- Oliver Berntzon · GNID
- Sam Masters · LUB3
- Adrian Gała · GNI2
- Robert Lambert · LUB1
- Maksymilian Bogdanowicz · GNIU
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI3
- Andreas Jonsson · LUB2
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB1*
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI0
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB3
- Adrian Gała · GNI2
- Dawid Lampart · LUB1
- Norbert Krakowiak · GNI0
- Robert Lambert · LUB3
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI2
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI1*
- Sam Masters · LUB0
- Kim Nilsson · GNI3
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI2*
- Andreas Jonsson · LUB1
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI3
- Adrian Gała · GNI2*
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB1
- Sam Masters · LUB0
- Kim Nilsson · GNI3
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB2
- Dawid Lampart · LUB1
- Maksymilian Bogdanowicz · GNIU
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI3
- Robert Lambert · LUB2
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI1
- Andreas Jonsson · LUB0
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI3
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB2
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB1*
- Adrian Gała · GNI0
- Dawid Lampart · LUB3
- Robert Lambert · LUB2*
- Kim Nilsson · GNI1
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 28 → 29 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 12 km/h W
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 28 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| GNI | LUB | GNI | LUB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GNI
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jurica Pavlic | 5 | 8.0 | 11 | +3.0 |
| Paweł Miesiąc | 5 | 5.3 | 8 | +2.7 |
| Dawid Lampart | 5 | 7.9 | 10 | +2.1 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 5 | 7.8 | 8 | +0.2 |
| Mirosław Jabłoński | 4 | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
| Kim Nilsson | 5 | 8.8 | 9 | +0.2 |
| Robert Lambert | 5 | 9.8 | 10 | +0.2 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 3 | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Maksymilian Bogdanowicz | 3 | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| Adrian Gała | 5 | 8.5 | 8 | -0.5 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 4 | 6.6 | 6 | -0.6 |
| Sam Masters | 4 | 5.1 | 3 | -2.1 |
| Andreas Jonsson | 4 | 8.5 | 6 | -2.5 |
| Oskar Bober | 3 | 3.3 | 0 | -3.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.