GDA vs PIL
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 19, 2018 · Stadion im. Zbigniewa Podleckiego, Gdańsk
Results
- 9Mikkel Bech Laursen2 3 2 18
- 10Michał Szczepaniak1 2 1 26+4
- 11Oskar Fajfer2 2 2 28+2
- 12Anders Thomsen3 1 3 3 212+2
- 13Mikkel Michelsen3 3 3 3 315
- 14Dominik Kossakowski2 2 1 27+4
- 15Karol Żupiński3 1 0 37
- 1Tomas H Jonasson3 3 1 310+1
- 2Paweł Staniszewski0 0 0 11
- 3Tomasz Gapiński1 1 3 16
- 4Patryk Fajfer0 0 0 00
- 5Adrian Cyfer2 1 2 1 2 19
- 6Piotr Gryszpiński1 0 0 01
- 7Oskar Rowecki0 0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIL3
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA2
- Michał Szczepaniak · GDA1*
- Paweł Staniszewski · PIL0
- Karol Żupiński · GDA3
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA2*
- Piotr Gryszpiński · PIL1
- Oskar Rowecki · PIL0
- Anders Thomsen · GDA3
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA2*
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL1
- Patryk Fajfer · PIL0
- Mikkel Michelsen · GDA3
- Adrian Cyfer · PIL2
- Karol Żupiński · GDA1
- Oskar Rowecki · PIL0
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIL3
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA2
- Anders Thomsen · GDA1*
- Paweł Staniszewski · PIL0
- Mikkel Michelsen · GDA3
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA2*
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL1
- Patryk Fajfer · PIL0
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA3
- Michał Szczepaniak · GDA2*
- Adrian Cyfer · PIL1
- Piotr Gryszpiński · PIL0
- Mikkel Michelsen · GDA3
- Adrian Cyfer · PIL2
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIL1*
- Karol Żupiński · GDA0
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL3
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA2
- Michał Szczepaniak · GDA1*
- Patryk Fajfer · PIL0
- Anders Thomsen · GDA3
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA2*
- Adrian Cyfer · PIL1
- Oskar Rowecki · PIL0
- Mikkel Michelsen · GDA3
- Michał Szczepaniak · GDA2*
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL1
- Paweł Staniszewski · PIL0
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIL3
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA2
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA1*
- Piotr Gryszpiński · PIL0
- Anders Thomsen · GDA3
- Adrian Cyfer · PIL2
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA1
- Patryk Fajfer · PIL0
- Karol Żupiński · GDA3
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA2*
- Paweł Staniszewski · PIL1
- Piotr Gryszpiński · PIL0
- Mikkel Michelsen · GDA3
- Anders Thomsen · GDA2*
- Adrian Cyfer · PIL1
- Oskar Rowecki · PIL0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 25 → 20 °C
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Wind
- 15 km/h E
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 67 %
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 7 | +10 | −10 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 10 | 2 | +8 | −8 | |
| GDA | PIL | GDA | PIL | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GDA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +10 | 98 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +14 | 99 % |
| 7 | +18 | 100 % |
| 8 | +18 | 100 % |
| 9 | +18 | 100 % |
| 10 | +22 | 100 % |
| 11 | +26 | 100 % |
| 12 | +26 | 100 % |
| 13 | +28 | 100 % |
| 14 | +32 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 11.6 | 15 | +3.4 |
| Adrian Cyfer | 6 | 6.2 | 9 | +2.8 |
| Tomas H Jonasson | 4 | 7.7 | 10 | +2.3 |
| Dominik Kossakowski | 4 | 5.0 | 7 | +2.0 |
| Karol Żupiński | 4 | 5.2 | 7 | +1.8 |
| Anders Thomsen | 5 | 11.0 | 12 | +1.0 |
| Michał Szczepaniak | 4 | 5.3 | 6 | +0.7 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 4 | 7.8 | 8 | +0.2 |
| Mikkel Bech Laursen | 4 | 8.7 | 8 | -0.7 |
| Paweł Staniszewski | 4 | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 4 | 7.1 | 6 | -1.1 |
| Patryk Fajfer | 4 | 2.8 | 0 | -2.8 |
| Piotr Gryszpiński | 4 | 5.1 | 1 | -4.1 |
| Oskar Rowecki | 4 | 4.5 | 0 | -4.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.