LUB vs GDA
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 12, 2018 · Best Auto Arena, Lublin
Results
- 9Dawid Lampart0 2 1 03
- 10Paweł Miesiąc3 W 03
- 11Sam Masters2 3 2 2 0 09
- 12Robert Lambert1 2 1 15+3
- 13Andreas Jonsson3 2 1 3 3 315
- 14Oskar Bober1 0 12+1
- 15Wiktor Lampart3 2 0 05+1
- 1Mikkel Bech Laursen1 1 2 3 18+3
- 2Michał Szczepaniak2 0 13+1
- 3Oskar Fajfer0 1 3 2 28
- 4Anders Thomsen3 3 2 2 111+3
- 5Mikkel Michelsen1 3 3 3 3 215
- 6Dominik Kossakowski0 1 01
- 7Karol Żupiński2 0 02
Heat by heat
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB3
- Michał Szczepaniak · GDA2
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA1*
- Dawid Lampart · LUB0
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB3
- Karol Żupiński · GDA2
- Oskar Bober · LUB1
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA0
- Anders Thomsen · GDA3
- Sam Masters · LUB2
- Robert Lambert · LUB1*
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA0
- Andreas Jonsson · LUB3
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB2*
- Mikkel Michelsen · GDA1
- Karol Żupiński · GDA0
- Sam Masters · LUB3
- Robert Lambert · LUB2*
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA1
- Michał Szczepaniak · GDA0
- Anders Thomsen · GDA3
- Andreas Jonsson · LUB2
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA1
- Oskar Bober · LUB0
- Mikkel Michelsen · GDA3
- Dawid Lampart · LUB2
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA1
- Mikkel Michelsen · GDA3
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA2*
- Andreas Jonsson · LUB1
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB0
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA3
- Anders Thomsen · GDA2*
- Dawid Lampart · LUB1
- Paweł Miesiąc · LUB0
- Mikkel Michelsen · GDA3
- Sam Masters · LUB2
- Robert Lambert · LUB1*
- Karol Żupiński · GDA0
- Andreas Jonsson · LUB3
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA2
- Michał Szczepaniak · GDA1*
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB0
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA3
- Sam Masters · LUB2
- Oskar Bober · LUB1*
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA0
- Mikkel Michelsen · GDA3
- Anders Thomsen · GDA2*
- Robert Lambert · LUB1
- Dawid Lampart · LUB0
- Andreas Jonsson · LUB3
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA2
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA1*
- Sam Masters · LUB0
- Andreas Jonsson · LUB3
- Mikkel Michelsen · GDA2
- Anders Thomsen · GDA1*
- Sam Masters · LUB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 23 °C
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Wind
- 15 km/h W
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 2 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 41 %
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| LUB | GDA | LUB | GDA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LUB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | -6 | 4 % |
| 14 | -6 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikkel Michelsen | 6 | 10.4 | 15 | +4.6 |
| Andreas Jonsson | 6 | 12.0 | 15 | +3.0 |
| Sam Masters | 6 | 6.7 | 9 | +2.3 |
| Anders Thomsen | 5 | 8.9 | 11 | +2.1 |
| Michał Szczepaniak | 3 | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 5 | 7.7 | 8 | +0.3 |
| Paweł Miesiąc | 3 | 3.0 | 3 | +0.0 |
| Karol Żupiński | 3 | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| Mikkel Bech Laursen | 5 | 9.1 | 8 | -1.1 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 4 | 6.2 | 5 | -1.2 |
| Oskar Bober | 3 | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| Dominik Kossakowski | 3 | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 |
| Robert Lambert | 4 | 8.0 | 5 | -3.0 |
| Dawid Lampart | 4 | 6.6 | 3 | -3.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.