GDA vs RYB
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 1, 2018 · Stadion im. Zbigniewa Podleckiego, Gdańsk
Results
- 9Mikkel Bech Laursen3 2 2 0 29
- 10Michał Szczepaniak0 1 0 23+2
- 11Oskar Fajfer3 3 3 2 213
- 12Anders Thomsen1 2 2 3 W8+2
- 13Mikkel Michelsen1 3 3 3 111+1
- 14Karol Żupiński1 W 01+1
- 15Dominik Kossakowski2 3 05
- 1Andzejs Lebedevs2 1 2 3 3 011
- 2Craig Cook1 01+1
- 3Artur Czaja2 1 3 06
- 4Troy Batchelor0 2 1 1 2 17
- 5Kacper Woryna2 3 1 1 1 311+2
- 6Robert Chmiel3 0 14
- 7Lars Skupien0 M 00
Heat by heat
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · RYB2
- Craig Cook · RYB1*
- Michał Szczepaniak · GDA0
- Robert Chmiel · RYB3
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA2
- Karol Żupiński · GDA1*
- Lars Skupien · RYB0
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA3
- Artur Czaja · RYB2
- Anders Thomsen · GDA1
- Troy Batchelor · RYB0
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA3
- Kacper Woryna · RYB2
- Mikkel Michelsen · GDA1
- Lars Skupien · RYBM
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA3
- Anders Thomsen · GDA2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · RYB1
- Craig Cook · RYB0
- Mikkel Michelsen · GDA3
- Troy Batchelor · RYB2
- Artur Czaja · RYB1
- Kacper Woryna · RYB3
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA2
- Michał Szczepaniak · GDA1*
- Robert Chmiel · RYB0
- Mikkel Michelsen · GDA3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · RYB2
- Kacper Woryna · RYB1*
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA0
- Artur Czaja · RYB3
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA2
- Troy Batchelor · RYB1
- Michał Szczepaniak · GDA0
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA3
- Anders Thomsen · GDA2*
- Kacper Woryna · RYB1
- Lars Skupien · RYB0
- Mikkel Michelsen · GDA3
- Michał Szczepaniak · GDA2*
- Troy Batchelor · RYB1
- Artur Czaja · RYB0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · RYB3
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA2
- Robert Chmiel · RYB1
- Karol Żupiński · GDA0
- Anders Thomsen · GDA3
- Troy Batchelor · RYB2
- Kacper Woryna · RYB1*
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · RYB3
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA2
- Troy Batchelor · RYB1
- Anders Thomsen · GDAW
- Kacper Woryna · RYB3
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA2
- Mikkel Michelsen · GDA1*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · RYB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 15 → 16 °C
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Wind
- 33 km/h N
- gusts up to 62 km/h
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.5 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 53 %
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| GDA | RYB | GDA | RYB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GDA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +14 | 100 % |
| 12 | +12 | 100 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oskar Fajfer | 5 | 7.1 | 13 | +5.9 |
| Dominik Kossakowski | 3 | 2.7 | 5 | +2.3 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 8.7 | 11 | +2.3 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 6 | 9.7 | 11 | +1.3 |
| Robert Chmiel | 3 | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| Mikkel Bech Laursen | 5 | 8.2 | 9 | +0.8 |
| Artur Czaja | 4 | 5.6 | 6 | +0.4 |
| Michał Szczepaniak | 4 | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| Kacper Woryna | 6 | 12.0 | 11 | -1.0 |
| Anders Thomsen | 5 | 9.2 | 8 | -1.2 |
| Craig Cook | 2 | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| Karol Żupiński | 3 | 3.4 | 1 | -2.4 |
| Lars Skupien | 3 | 3.4 | 0 | -3.4 |
| Troy Batchelor | 6 | 11.5 | 7 | -4.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.