GNI vs DAU
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 8, 2018 · Stadion Miejski im. płk. Franciszka Hynka, Gniezno
Results
- 9Marcin Nowak2 2 1 3 19
- 10Jurica Pavlic0 1 0 34+1
- 11Adrian Gała3 3 1 3 212+2
- 12Eduard Krcmar2 2 2 2 311+3
- 13Mirosław Jabłoński2 3 2 2 312+1
- 14Damian Stalkowski3 1 15
- 15Norbert Krakowiak2 1 14+3
- 1Vadim Tarasenko3 1 3 0 2 110
- 2Timo Lahti1 W 0 23
- 3Kasts Puodzuks1 2 2 1 0 06+1
- 4Jevgenijs Kostigovs0 00
- 5Peter Ljung3 3 3 3 1 013
- 6Davis Kurmis0 0 00
- 7Olegs Mihailovs1 0 01
Heat by heat
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU3
- Marcin Nowak · GNI2
- Timo Lahti · DAU1
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI0
- Damian Stalkowski · GNI3
- Norbert Krakowiak · GNI2*
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU1
- Davis Kurmis · DAU0
- Adrian Gała · GNI3
- Eduard Krcmar · GNI2*
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU1
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU0
- Peter Ljung · DAU3
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI2
- Norbert Krakowiak · GNI1*
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU0
- Adrian Gała · GNI3
- Eduard Krcmar · GNI2*
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU1
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI3
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU2
- Damian Stalkowski · GNI1
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU0
- Peter Ljung · DAU3
- Marcin Nowak · GNI2
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI1*
- Davis Kurmis · DAU0
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU3
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI2
- Norbert Krakowiak · GNI1*
- Timo Lahti · DAU0
- Peter Ljung · DAU3
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU2*
- Marcin Nowak · GNI1
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI0
- Peter Ljung · DAU3
- Eduard Krcmar · GNI2
- Adrian Gała · GNI1*
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU0
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI3
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI2*
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU1
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU0
- Adrian Gała · GNI3
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU2
- Damian Stalkowski · GNI1
- Davis Kurmis · DAU0
- Marcin Nowak · GNI3
- Eduard Krcmar · GNI2*
- Peter Ljung · DAU1
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU0
- Eduard Krcmar · GNI3
- Timo Lahti · DAU2
- Marcin Nowak · GNI1
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU0
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI3
- Adrian Gała · GNI2*
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU1
- Peter Ljung · DAU0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 20 → 22 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 20 km/h S
- gusts up to 46 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 35 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| GNI | DAU | GNI | DAU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GNI
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +12 | 99 % |
| 8 | +12 | 98 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +18 | 100 % |
| 14 | +20 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Gała | 5 | 3.5 | 12 | +8.5 |
| Mirosław Jabłoński | 5 | 4.7 | 12 | +7.3 |
| Eduard Krcmar | 5 | 6.9 | 11 | +4.1 |
| Marcin Nowak | 5 | 5.1 | 9 | +3.9 |
| Peter Ljung | 6 | 12.7 | 13 | +0.3 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 3 | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| Damian Stalkowski | 3 | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 6 | 11.6 | 10 | -1.6 |
| Jurica Pavlic | 4 | 5.7 | 4 | -1.7 |
| Jevgenijs Kostigovs | 2 | 2.8 | 0 | -2.8 |
| Davis Kurmis | 3 | 3.6 | 0 | -3.6 |
| Olegs Mihailovs | 3 | 4.7 | 1 | -3.7 |
| Timo Lahti | 4 | 8.2 | 3 | -5.2 |
| Kasts Puodzuks | 6 | 11.8 | 6 | -5.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.