PIL vs TAR
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 11, 2017 · ASTA ARENA, Piła
Results
- 9Tomasz Gapiński0 W 3 3 1 29
- 10Adrian Cyfer3 1 0 15+1
- 11Norbert Kościuch1 1 2 3 3 111+3
- 12Vadim Tarasenko0 2 3 0 27
- 13Michał Szczepaniak2 1 14
- 14Kacper Grzegorczyk2 0 02
- 15Adrian Woźniak1 0 01
- 1Peter Ljung2 3 3 2 010
- 2Mikkel Michelsen1 0 2 14+3
- 3Artur Czaja2 3 2 2 312+1
- 4Artur Mroczka3 2 1 2 311+2
- 5Kenneth Bjerre3 2 16+1
- 6Patryk Rolnicki3 3 1 D7+1
- 7Kacper KoniecznyD 1 0 01
Heat by heat
- Adrian Cyfer · PIL3
- Peter Ljung · TAR2
- Mikkel Michelsen · TAR1*
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL0
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR3
- Kacper Grzegorczyk · PIL2
- Adrian Woźniak · PIL1
- Kacper Konieczny · TARD
- Artur Mroczka · TAR3
- Artur Czaja · TAR2*
- Norbert Kościuch · PIL1
- Vadim Tarasenko · PIL0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Michał Szczepaniak · PIL2
- Kacper Konieczny · TAR1
- Adrian Woźniak · PIL0
- Peter Ljung · TAR3
- Vadim Tarasenko · PIL2
- Norbert Kościuch · PIL1*
- Mikkel Michelsen · TAR0
- Artur Czaja · TAR3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2*
- Michał Szczepaniak · PIL1
- Kacper Grzegorczyk · PIL0
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2*
- Adrian Cyfer · PIL1
- Peter Ljung · TAR3
- Mikkel Michelsen · TAR2*
- Michał Szczepaniak · PIL1
- Adrian Woźniak · PIL0
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL3
- Artur Czaja · TAR2
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1*
- Adrian Cyfer · PIL0
- Vadim Tarasenko · PIL3
- Norbert Kościuch · PIL2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR1
- Kacper Konieczny · TAR0
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL3
- Artur Czaja · TAR2
- Mikkel Michelsen · TAR1*
- Vadim Tarasenko · PIL0
- Norbert Kościuch · PIL3
- Peter Ljung · TAR2
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR1*
- Kacper Grzegorczyk · PIL0
- Norbert Kościuch · PIL3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL1
- Patryk Rolnicki · TARD
- Artur Mroczka · TAR3
- Vadim Tarasenko · PIL2
- Adrian Cyfer · PIL1*
- Kacper Konieczny · TAR0
- Artur Czaja · TAR3
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL2
- Norbert Kościuch · PIL1*
- Peter Ljung · TAR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 24 → 25 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 10 km/h SW
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 42 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 15 | −6 | +6 | |
| 5–7 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| PIL | TAR | PIL | TAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead PIL
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -6 | 23 % |
| 5 | -6 | 22 % |
| 6 | -10 | 8 % |
| 7 | -14 | 0 % |
| 8 | -18 | 1 % |
| 9 | -18 | 1 % |
| 10 | -14 | 0 % |
| 11 | -14 | 2 % |
| 12 | -14 | 4 % |
| 13 | -12 | 0 % |
| 14 | -12 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artur Czaja | 5 | 6.8 | 12 | +5.2 |
| Patryk Rolnicki | 4 | 3.8 | 7 | +3.2 |
| Artur Mroczka | 5 | 9.6 | 11 | +1.4 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 5 | 5.7 | 7 | +1.3 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 6 | 9.8 | 11 | +1.2 |
| Peter Ljung | 5 | 9.1 | 10 | +0.9 |
| Michał Szczepaniak | 3 | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| Adrian Cyfer | 4 | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 3 | 6.9 | 6 | -0.9 |
| Kacper Grzegorczyk | 3 | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 6 | 10.7 | 9 | -1.7 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 4 | 7.0 | 4 | -3.0 |
| Adrian Woźniak | 3 | 4.2 | 1 | -3.2 |
| Kacper Konieczny | 4 | 4.7 | 1 | -3.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.