GDA vs PIL
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, July 22, 2017 · Stadion im. Zbigniewa Podleckiego, Gdańsk
Results
- 9Kacper Gomolski1 2 3 2 210+2
- 10Oskar Fajfer2 1 0 25+2
- 11Renat Gafurov3 2 1 3 W9
- 12Anders Thomsen2 1 3 3 110+2
- 13Troy Batchelor2 3 1 39
- 14Aureliusz Bieliński2 0 02+1
- 15Marcin Turowski3 1 0 04+1
- 1Tomasz Gapiński0 0 2 35
- 2Vadim Tarasenko3 3 3 1 313
- 3Michał Szczepaniak0 1 1 13+2
- 4Adrian Cyfer1 2 2 0 05
- 5Norbert Kościuch3 3 2 2 1 213+2
- 6Adrian Woźniak1 0 12+1
- 7Kacper Grzegorczyk0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Vadim Tarasenko · PIL3
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA2
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA1*
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL0
- Marcin Turowski · GDA3
- Aureliusz Bieliński · GDA2*
- Adrian Woźniak · PIL1
- Kacper Grzegorczyk · PIL0
- Renat Gafurov · GDA3
- Anders Thomsen · GDA2*
- Adrian Cyfer · PIL1
- Michał Szczepaniak · PIL0
- Norbert Kościuch · PIL3
- Troy Batchelor · GDA2
- Marcin Turowski · GDA1*
- Kacper Grzegorczyk · PIL0
- Vadim Tarasenko · PIL3
- Renat Gafurov · GDA2
- Anders Thomsen · GDA1*
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL0
- Troy Batchelor · GDA3
- Adrian Cyfer · PIL2
- Michał Szczepaniak · PIL1*
- Aureliusz Bieliński · GDA0
- Norbert Kościuch · PIL3
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA2
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA1*
- Adrian Woźniak · PIL0
- Vadim Tarasenko · PIL3
- Norbert Kościuch · PIL2*
- Troy Batchelor · GDA1
- Marcin Turowski · GDA0
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA3
- Adrian Cyfer · PIL2
- Michał Szczepaniak · PIL1*
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA0
- Anders Thomsen · GDA3
- Norbert Kościuch · PIL2
- Renat Gafurov · GDA1
- Kacper Grzegorczyk · PIL0
- Troy Batchelor · GDA3
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA2*
- Vadim Tarasenko · PIL1
- Adrian Cyfer · PIL0
- Renat Gafurov · GDA3
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL2
- Adrian Woźniak · PIL1*
- Aureliusz Bieliński · GDA0
- Anders Thomsen · GDA3
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA2*
- Norbert Kościuch · PIL1
- Adrian Cyfer · PIL0
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL3
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA2
- Michał Szczepaniak · PIL1
- Marcin Turowski · GDA0
- Vadim Tarasenko · PIL3
- Norbert Kościuch · PIL2*
- Anders Thomsen · GDA1
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 21 → 19 °C
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Wind
- 22 km/h NE
- gusts up to 37 km/h
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.7 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 61 %
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 14–15 | 3 | 9 | −6 | +6 | |
| GDA | PIL | GDA | PIL | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GDA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +14 | 100 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vadim Tarasenko | 5 | 6.6 | 13 | +6.4 |
| Renat Gafurov | 5 | 6.5 | 9 | +2.5 |
| Troy Batchelor | 4 | 7.7 | 9 | +1.3 |
| Anders Thomsen | 5 | 8.7 | 10 | +1.3 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 5 | 9.3 | 10 | +0.7 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 6 | 12.5 | 13 | +0.5 |
| Marcin Turowski | 4 | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 4 | 5.6 | 5 | -0.6 |
| Aureliusz Bieliński | 3 | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Adrian Woźniak | 3 | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 4 | 7.0 | 5 | -2.0 |
| Adrian Cyfer | 5 | 7.1 | 5 | -2.1 |
| Kacper Grzegorczyk | 3 | 2.8 | 0 | -2.8 |
| Michał Szczepaniak | 4 | 6.2 | 3 | -3.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.