PIL vs GDA
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, May 27, 2017 · ASTA ARENA, Piła
Results
- 9Adrian Cyfer2 1 2 2 29+2
- 10Michał Szczepaniak0 3 3 1 07+1
- 11Norbert Kościuch1 2 3 D 39
- 12Vadim Tarasenko3 0 2 16+2
- 13Tomasz Gapiński3 2 2 2 110
- 14Kacper Grzegorczyk2 0 13
- 1Kacper Gomolski1 1 1 3 W6
- 2Oskar Fajfer3 3 3 3 214+1
- 3Renat Gafurov0 1 1 02
- 4Anders Thomsen2 3 0 3 311
- 5Troy Batchelor2 W 1 03
- 6Dominik Kossakowski3 2 2 18+1
- 7Marcin Turowski1 1 02
Heat by heat
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA3
- Adrian Cyfer · PIL2
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA1
- Michał Szczepaniak · PIL0
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA3
- Kacper Grzegorczyk · PIL2
- Marcin Turowski · GDA1
- Vadim Tarasenko · PIL3
- Anders Thomsen · GDA2
- Norbert Kościuch · PIL1
- Renat Gafurov · GDA0
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL3
- Troy Batchelor · GDA2
- Marcin Turowski · GDA1
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA3
- Norbert Kościuch · PIL2
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA1
- Vadim Tarasenko · PIL0
- Anders Thomsen · GDA3
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL2
- Renat Gafurov · GDA1
- Kacper Grzegorczyk · PIL0
- Michał Szczepaniak · PIL3
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA2
- Adrian Cyfer · PIL1
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA3
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL2
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA1
- Michał Szczepaniak · PIL3
- Adrian Cyfer · PIL2*
- Renat Gafurov · GDA1
- Anders Thomsen · GDA0
- Norbert Kościuch · PIL3
- Vadim Tarasenko · PIL2*
- Troy Batchelor · GDA1
- Marcin Turowski · GDA0
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA3
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL2
- Michał Szczepaniak · PIL1*
- Renat Gafurov · GDA0
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA3
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA2*
- Kacper Grzegorczyk · PIL1
- Norbert Kościuch · PILD
- Anders Thomsen · GDA3
- Adrian Cyfer · PIL2
- Vadim Tarasenko · PIL1*
- Troy Batchelor · GDA0
- Norbert Kościuch · PIL3
- Adrian Cyfer · PIL2*
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA1
- Anders Thomsen · GDA3
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA2*
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL1
- Michał Szczepaniak · PIL0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 24 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 7 km/h E
- gusts up to 13 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 29 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| PIL | GDA | PIL | GDA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead PIL
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -4 | 34 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -6 | 16 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | -2 | 33 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oskar Fajfer | 5 | 6.8 | 14 | +7.2 |
| Dominik Kossakowski | 4 | 4.0 | 8 | +4.0 |
| Anders Thomsen | 5 | 7.0 | 11 | +4.0 |
| Michał Szczepaniak | 5 | 5.7 | 7 | +1.3 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 4 | 5.1 | 6 | +0.9 |
| Adrian Cyfer | 5 | 8.2 | 9 | +0.8 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 5 | 9.2 | 9 | -0.2 |
| Kacper Grzegorczyk | 3 | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 5 | 10.8 | 10 | -0.8 |
| Marcin Turowski | 3 | 4.0 | 2 | -2.0 |
| Paweł Staniszewski | 3 | 2.9 | 0 | -2.9 |
| Renat Gafurov | 4 | 5.3 | 2 | -3.3 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 5 | 9.9 | 6 | -3.9 |
| Troy Batchelor | 4 | 8.0 | 3 | -5.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.