TAR vs PIL
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 21, 2017 · Tarnów Stadium, Tarnów
Results
- 9Peter Ljung1 1 3 W5
- 10Mikkel Michelsen3 3 2 2 313+2
- 11Artur Czaja3 2 1 3 312+2
- 12Artur Mroczka2 3 2 2 211+2
- 13Kenneth Bjerre3 3 3 3 012
- 14Michał Nowiński3 0 14
- 15Patryk Rolnicki2 1 03+1
- 1Norbert Kościuch2 1 1 2 17+2
- 2Vadim Tarasenko0 0 1 01
- 3Adrian Cyfer1 2 1 0 15
- 4Michał Szczepaniak0 1 0 12+1
- 5Tomasz Gapiński2 2 2 3 3 214
- 6Kacper Grzegorczyk0 0 00
- 7Paweł Staniszewski1 0 01
Heat by heat
- Mikkel Michelsen · TAR3
- Norbert Kościuch · PIL2
- Peter Ljung · TAR1
- Vadim Tarasenko · PIL0
- Michał Nowiński · TAR3
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR2*
- Paweł Staniszewski · PIL1
- Kacper Grzegorczyk · PIL0
- Artur Czaja · TAR3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2*
- Adrian Cyfer · PIL1
- Michał Szczepaniak · PIL0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL2
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR1
- Paweł Staniszewski · PIL0
- Artur Mroczka · TAR3
- Artur Czaja · TAR2*
- Norbert Kościuch · PIL1
- Vadim Tarasenko · PIL0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Adrian Cyfer · PIL2
- Michał Szczepaniak · PIL1*
- Michał Nowiński · TAR0
- Mikkel Michelsen · TAR3
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL2
- Peter Ljung · TAR1
- Kacper Grzegorczyk · PIL0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL2
- Norbert Kościuch · PIL1*
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR0
- Peter Ljung · TAR3
- Mikkel Michelsen · TAR2*
- Adrian Cyfer · PIL1
- Michał Szczepaniak · PIL0
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2
- Artur Czaja · TAR1*
- Paweł Staniszewski · PIL0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Mikkel Michelsen · TAR2*
- Vadim Tarasenko · PIL1
- Adrian Cyfer · PIL0
- Artur Czaja · TAR3
- Norbert Kościuch · PIL2
- Michał Nowiński · TAR1
- Kacper Grzegorczyk · PIL0
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2
- Michał Szczepaniak · PIL1
- Artur Czaja · TAR3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2*
- Adrian Cyfer · PIL1
- Vadim Tarasenko · PIL0
- Mikkel Michelsen · TAR3
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL2
- Norbert Kościuch · PIL1*
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Showers → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 14 → 18 °C
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
- Wind
- 11 km/h NW
- gusts up to 45 km/h
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.4 mm
- Possible showers: a second model has the day dry
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 74 %
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 18 | 6 | +12 | −12 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| TAR | PIL | TAR | PIL | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TAR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +10 | 98 % |
| 4 | +12 | 96 % |
| 5 | +16 | 100 % |
| 6 | +16 | 99 % |
| 7 | +18 | 100 % |
| 8 | +18 | 100 % |
| 9 | +22 | 100 % |
| 10 | +22 | 100 % |
| 11 | +26 | 100 % |
| 12 | +28 | 100 % |
| 13 | +26 | 100 % |
| 14 | +30 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 6.5 | 13 | +6.5 |
| Artur Czaja | 5 | 6.2 | 12 | +5.8 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 6 | 10.8 | 14 | +3.2 |
| Artur Mroczka | 5 | 8.6 | 11 | +2.4 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 10.3 | 12 | +1.7 |
| Patryk Rolnicki | 3 | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Michał Nowiński | 3 | 4.0 | 4 | +0.0 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 5 | 8.6 | 7 | -1.6 |
| Michał Szczepaniak | 4 | 4.0 | 2 | -2.0 |
| Paweł Staniszewski | 3 | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| Adrian Cyfer | 5 | 7.9 | 5 | -2.9 |
| Kacper Grzegorczyk | 3 | 3.3 | 0 | -3.3 |
| Peter Ljung | 4 | 8.6 | 5 | -3.6 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 4 | 5.1 | 1 | -4.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.