GDA vs KRA
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 21, 2017 · Stadion im. Zbigniewa Podleckiego, Gdańsk
Results
- 9Kacper Gomolski2 2 3 2 1 010+1
- 10Oskar Fajfer1 D T 12+2
- 11Renat Gafurov1 2 1 2 28
- 12Hubert Legowik0 00
- 13Troy Batchelor3 1 3 3 3 215
- 14Aureliusz BielińskiD W 00
- 15Dominik Kossakowski3 1 0 1 38
- 1Patrick Hougaard3 3 1 3 313+1
- 2Claus Vissing0 1 2 14
- 3Ernest Koza3 2 W 0 05+1
- 4Nicolai Klindt2 3 2 D 310+1
- 5Mateusz Szczepaniak2 3 2 2 110
- 6Piotr Pióro2 1 14
- 7Szymon Szlauderbach1 0 W1
Heat by heat
- Patrick Hougaard · KRA3
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA2
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA1*
- Claus Vissing · KRA0
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA3
- Piotr Pióro · KRA2
- Szymon Szlauderbach · KRA1
- Ernest Koza · KRA3
- Nicolai Klindt · KRA2*
- Renat Gafurov · GDA1
- Hubert Legowik · GDA0
- Troy Batchelor · GDA3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRA2
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA1
- Szymon Szlauderbach · KRA0
- Patrick Hougaard · KRA3
- Renat Gafurov · GDA2
- Claus Vissing · KRA1
- Hubert Legowik · GDA0
- Nicolai Klindt · KRA3
- Ernest Koza · KRA2*
- Troy Batchelor · GDA1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRA3
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA2
- Piotr Pióro · KRA1
- Oskar Fajfer · GDAD
- Troy Batchelor · GDA3
- Claus Vissing · KRA2
- Patrick Hougaard · KRA1*
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA0
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA3
- Nicolai Klindt · KRA2
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA1
- Troy Batchelor · GDA3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRA2
- Renat Gafurov · GDA1
- Troy Batchelor · GDA3
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA2*
- Claus Vissing · KRA1
- Ernest Koza · KRA0
- Patrick Hougaard · KRA3
- Renat Gafurov · GDA2
- Piotr Pióro · KRA1
- Aureliusz Bieliński · GDA0
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRA2
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA1
- Nicolai Klindt · KRAD
- Nicolai Klindt · KRA3
- Renat Gafurov · GDA2
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA1*
- Ernest Koza · KRA0
- Patrick Hougaard · KRA3
- Troy Batchelor · GDA2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRA1
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 17 → 16 °C
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Wind
- 34 km/h NW
- gusts up to 48 km/h
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 67 %
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| GDA | KRA | GDA | KRA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GDA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -4 | 34 % |
| 6 | -8 | 18 % |
| 7 | -10 | 5 % |
| 8 | -10 | 7 % |
| 9 | -8 | 12 % |
| 10 | -6 | 15 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | -4 | 20 % |
| 13 | -2 | 33 % |
| 14 | -2 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Hougaard | 5 | 8.1 | 13 | +4.9 |
| Dominik Kossakowski | 5 | 4.4 | 8 | +3.6 |
| Troy Batchelor | 6 | 11.6 | 15 | +3.4 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 5 | 7.9 | 10 | +2.1 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 5 | 9.3 | 10 | +0.7 |
| Renat Gafurov | 5 | 7.5 | 8 | +0.5 |
| Piotr Pióro | 3 | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 |
| Ernest Koza | 5 | 6.0 | 5 | -1.0 |
| Hubert Legowik | 2 | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Claus Vissing | 4 | 5.6 | 4 | -1.6 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 6 | 12.4 | 10 | -2.4 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 3 | 4.4 | 2 | -2.4 |
| Szymon Szlauderbach | 3 | 3.6 | 1 | -2.6 |
| Aureliusz Bieliński | 3 | 3.3 | 0 | -3.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.