LOD vs TAR
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, July 22, 2017 · Moto Arena w Łodzi, Łódź
Results
- 9Hans Andersen3 1 1 2 29+1
- 10Robert Miśkowiak0 2 3 1 28
- 11Edward Mazur3 D 2 1 D6
- 12Gleb Chugunov2 1 1 15+2
- 13Rohan Tungate2 3 3 3 112+1
- 14Michał Piosicki1 0 U1
- 15Arkadiusz Potoniec0 D 11
- 1Peter Ljung2 2 D 2 39+2
- 2Jakub Jamróg1 3 2 2 08+1
- 3Artur Czaja0 1 0 01+1
- 4Artur Mroczka1 2 2 3 W8
- 5Kenneth Bjerre3 3 3 M 312
- 6Patryk Rolnicki3 0 36
- 7Michał Nowiński2 1 03+1
Heat by heat
- Hans Andersen · LOD3
- Peter Ljung · TAR2
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR1*
- Robert Miśkowiak · LOD0
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR3
- Michał Nowiński · TAR2*
- Michał Piosicki · LOD1
- Arkadiusz Potoniec · LOD0
- Edward Mazur · LOD3
- Gleb Chugunov · LOD2*
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1
- Artur Czaja · TAR0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Rohan Tungate · LOD2
- Michał Nowiński · TAR1
- Arkadiusz Potoniec · LODD
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR3
- Peter Ljung · TAR2*
- Gleb Chugunov · LOD1
- Edward Mazur · LODD
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2
- Artur Czaja · TAR1*
- Michał Piosicki · LOD0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Robert Miśkowiak · LOD2
- Hans Andersen · LOD1*
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR0
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR2
- Arkadiusz Potoniec · LOD1
- Peter Ljung · TARD
- Robert Miśkowiak · LOD3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2
- Hans Andersen · LOD1
- Artur Czaja · TAR0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Edward Mazur · LOD2
- Gleb Chugunov · LOD1*
- Michał Nowiński · TAR0
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR2
- Robert Miśkowiak · LOD1
- Artur Czaja · TAR0
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR3
- Peter Ljung · TAR2*
- Edward Mazur · LOD1
- Michał Piosicki · LODU
- Artur Mroczka · TAR3
- Hans Andersen · LOD2
- Gleb Chugunov · LOD1
- Kenneth Bjerre · TARM
- Peter Ljung · TAR3
- Robert Miśkowiak · LOD2
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Hans Andersen · LOD2
- Rohan Tungate · LOD1*
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 26 °C
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Wind
- 12 km/h NE
- gusts up to 21 km/h
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.4 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 53 %
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 6 | −1 | +1 | |
| LOD | TAR | LOD | TAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LOD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -6 | 22 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -6 | 18 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | 0 | 48 % |
| 12 | -4 | 20 % |
| 13 | -4 | 14 % |
| 14 | -5 | 8 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 7.2 | 12 | +4.8 |
| Robert Miśkowiak | 5 | 5.1 | 8 | +2.9 |
| Patryk Rolnicki | 3 | 4.3 | 6 | +1.7 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 11.1 | 12 | +0.9 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 7.4 | 8 | +0.6 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 4 | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| Michał Nowiński | 3 | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| Hans Andersen | 5 | 9.1 | 9 | -0.1 |
| Edward Mazur | 5 | 6.2 | 6 | -0.2 |
| Peter Ljung | 5 | 9.6 | 9 | -0.6 |
| Artur Mroczka | 5 | 9.5 | 8 | -1.5 |
| Michał Piosicki | 3 | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Arkadiusz Potoniec | 3 | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| Artur Czaja | 4 | 7.0 | 1 | -6.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.