GDA vs TAR
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 25, 2017 · Stadion im. Zbigniewa Podleckiego, Gdańsk
Results
- 9Oskar FajferD 3 03
- 10Anders Thomsen2 2 26+1
- 11Kacper Gomolski3 3 39
- 12Renat Gafurov2 0 U2+1
- 13Troy Batchelor2 3 38
- 14Aureliusz Bieliński0 00
- 15Dominik Kossakowski3 1 04
- 1Jakub Jamróg3 2 27
- 2Mikkel Michelsen1 1 13+2
- 3Artur Czaja0 1 12+1
- 4Artur Mroczka1 2 36
- 5Kenneth Bjerre3 D 25
- 6Patryk Rolnicki2 13
- 7Michał Nowiński1 D 12+1
Heat by heat
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR3
- Anders Thomsen · GDA2
- Mikkel Michelsen · TAR1
- Oskar Fajfer · GDAD
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA3
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR2
- Michał Nowiński · TAR1*
- Aureliusz Bieliński · GDA0
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA3
- Renat Gafurov · GDA2*
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1
- Artur Czaja · TAR0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Troy Batchelor · GDA2
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA1
- Michał Nowiński · TARD
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA3
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR2
- Mikkel Michelsen · TAR1*
- Renat Gafurov · GDA0
- Troy Batchelor · GDA3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2
- Artur Czaja · TAR1*
- Aureliusz Bieliński · GDA0
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA3
- Anders Thomsen · GDA2*
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR1
- Kenneth Bjerre · TARD
- Troy Batchelor · GDA3
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR2
- Mikkel Michelsen · TAR1*
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA0
- Artur Mroczka · TAR3
- Anders Thomsen · GDA2
- Artur Czaja · TAR1
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA0
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2
- Michał Nowiński · TAR1
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Rain
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 20 → 16 °C
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Wind
- 31 km/h W
- gusts up to 63 km/h
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 2 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 2 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 80 %
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| GDA | TAR | GDA | TAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GDA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kacper Gomolski | 3 | 4.9 | 9 | +4.1 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 3 | 3.3 | 7 | +3.7 |
| Troy Batchelor | 3 | 5.2 | 8 | +2.8 |
| Anders Thomsen | 3 | 3.7 | 6 | +2.3 |
| Artur Mroczka | 3 | 5.5 | 6 | +0.5 |
| Dominik Kossakowski | 3 | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| Patryk Rolnicki | 2 | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Michał Nowiński | 3 | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| Aureliusz Bieliński | 2 | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Renat Gafurov | 3 | 3.6 | 2 | -1.6 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 3 | 4.7 | 3 | -1.7 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 3 | 6.9 | 5 | -1.9 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 3 | 6.1 | 3 | -3.1 |
| Artur Czaja | 3 | 5.4 | 2 | -3.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.