TAR vs DAU
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Thursday, June 22, 2017 · Tarnów Stadium, Tarnów
Results
- 9Mikkel Michelsen3 3 3 3 315
- 10Peter Ljung1 2 2 3 311+2
- 11Artur Czaja3 1 3 3 111+1
- 12Jakub Jamróg1 2 2 27+2
- 13Kenneth Bjerre3 3 3 2 112+1
- 14Michał Nowiński0 0 00
- 15Patryk Rolnicki3 2 05+1
- 1Maksims Bogdanovs2 3 2 D 2 211
- 2Sergei Logachev0 0 11+1
- 3Kasts Puodzuks0 1 0 12+1
- 4Tomas H Jonasson2 2 1 1 06
- 5Timo Lahti1 1 1 03
- 6Davis Kurmis1 0 1 02+2
- 7Jevgenijs Kostigovs2 0 0 24
Heat by heat
- Mikkel Michelsen · TAR3
- Maksims Bogdanovs · DAU2
- Peter Ljung · TAR1
- Sergei Logachev · DAU0
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR3
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU2
- Davis Kurmis · DAU1*
- Michał Nowiński · TAR0
- Artur Czaja · TAR3
- Tomas H Jonasson · DAU2
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR1
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR2*
- Timo Lahti · DAU1
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU0
- Maksims Bogdanovs · DAU3
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR2
- Artur Czaja · TAR1*
- Sergei Logachev · DAU0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Tomas H Jonasson · DAU2
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU1*
- Michał Nowiński · TAR0
- Mikkel Michelsen · TAR3
- Peter Ljung · TAR2*
- Timo Lahti · DAU1
- Davis Kurmis · DAU0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Maksims Bogdanovs · DAU2
- Sergei Logachev · DAU1*
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR0
- Mikkel Michelsen · TAR3
- Peter Ljung · TAR2*
- Tomas H Jonasson · DAU1
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU0
- Artur Czaja · TAR3
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR2*
- Timo Lahti · DAU1
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU0
- Peter Ljung · TAR3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2*
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU1
- Maksims Bogdanovs · DAUD
- Artur Czaja · TAR3
- Maksims Bogdanovs · DAU2
- Davis Kurmis · DAU1*
- Michał Nowiński · TAR0
- Mikkel Michelsen · TAR3
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR2*
- Tomas H Jonasson · DAU1
- Timo Lahti · DAU0
- Peter Ljung · TAR3
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU2
- Artur Czaja · TAR1
- Davis Kurmis · DAU0
- Mikkel Michelsen · TAR3
- Maksims Bogdanovs · DAU2
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR1
- Tomas H Jonasson · DAU0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 25 → 20 °C
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
- Wind
- 5 km/h NW
- gusts up to 23 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 46 %
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| TAR | DAU | TAR | DAU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TAR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +12 | 99 % |
| 8 | +12 | 98 % |
| 9 | +16 | 100 % |
| 10 | +20 | 100 % |
| 11 | +24 | 100 % |
| 12 | +24 | 100 % |
| 13 | +28 | 100 % |
| 14 | +30 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 7.6 | 15 | +7.4 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 4 | 3.9 | 7 | +3.1 |
| Peter Ljung | 5 | 8.8 | 11 | +2.2 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 10.1 | 12 | +1.9 |
| Patryk Rolnicki | 3 | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| Artur Czaja | 5 | 9.9 | 11 | +1.1 |
| Maksims Bogdanovs | 6 | 10.7 | 11 | +0.3 |
| Jevgenijs Kostigovs | 4 | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| Sergei Logachev | 3 | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Tomas H Jonasson | 5 | 8.0 | 6 | -2.0 |
| Davis Kurmis | 4 | 4.8 | 2 | -2.8 |
| Michał Nowiński | 3 | 2.8 | 0 | -2.8 |
| Kasts Puodzuks | 4 | 5.5 | 2 | -3.5 |
| Timo Lahti | 4 | 7.7 | 3 | -4.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.