PIL vs LOD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 14, 2017 · ASTA ARENA, Piła
Results
- 9Adrian Cyfer3 3 1 3 212
- 10Michał Szczepaniak0 2 0 35+1
- 11Norbert Kościuch2 2 3 3 313+1
- 12Vadim Tarasenko3 D 1 2 17+1
- 13Tomasz Gapiński3 3 3 2 213+2
- 14Kacper Grzegorczyk1 0 01
- 15Paweł StaniszewskiU 0 00
- 1Hans Andersen1 3 2 2 3 112+1
- 2Edward Mazur2 1 1 1 W5+1
- 3Oleksandr Loktayev0 2 2 04+1
- 4Rohan Tungate1 T 3 1 05
- 5Robert Miśkowiak2 0 2 04
- 6Michał Piosicki3 1 15+1
- 7Arkadiusz Potoniec2 1 1 04+3
Heat by heat
- Adrian Cyfer · PIL3
- Edward Mazur · LOD2
- Hans Andersen · LOD1*
- Michał Szczepaniak · PIL0
- Michał Piosicki · LOD3
- Arkadiusz Potoniec · LOD2*
- Kacper Grzegorczyk · PIL1
- Paweł Staniszewski · PILU
- Vadim Tarasenko · PIL3
- Norbert Kościuch · PIL2*
- Rohan Tungate · LOD1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD0
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL3
- Robert Miśkowiak · LOD2
- Arkadiusz Potoniec · LOD1*
- Paweł Staniszewski · PIL0
- Hans Andersen · LOD3
- Norbert Kościuch · PIL2
- Edward Mazur · LOD1
- Vadim Tarasenko · PILD
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD2
- Arkadiusz Potoniec · LOD1*
- Kacper Grzegorczyk · PIL0
- Adrian Cyfer · PIL3
- Michał Szczepaniak · PIL2*
- Michał Piosicki · LOD1
- Robert Miśkowiak · LOD0
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL3
- Hans Andersen · LOD2
- Edward Mazur · LOD1*
- Paweł Staniszewski · PIL0
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD2*
- Adrian Cyfer · PIL1
- Michał Szczepaniak · PIL0
- Norbert Kościuch · PIL3
- Robert Miśkowiak · LOD2
- Vadim Tarasenko · PIL1
- Arkadiusz Potoniec · LOD0
- Michał Szczepaniak · PIL3
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL2*
- Edward Mazur · LOD1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD0
- Norbert Kościuch · PIL3
- Hans Andersen · LOD2
- Michał Piosicki · LOD1*
- Kacper Grzegorczyk · PIL0
- Adrian Cyfer · PIL3
- Vadim Tarasenko · PIL2*
- Rohan Tungate · LOD1
- Robert Miśkowiak · LOD0
- Hans Andersen · LOD3
- Adrian Cyfer · PIL2
- Vadim Tarasenko · PIL1
- Norbert Kościuch · PIL3
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL2*
- Hans Andersen · LOD1
- Rohan Tungate · LOD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 20 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 14 km/h SE
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 56 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| PIL | LOD | PIL | LOD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead PIL
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | 0 | 56 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norbert Kościuch | 5 | 8.4 | 13 | +4.6 |
| Adrian Cyfer | 5 | 8.3 | 12 | +3.7 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 5 | 9.7 | 13 | +3.3 |
| Michał Piosicki | 3 | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| Edward Mazur | 5 | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| Michał Szczepaniak | 4 | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 |
| Rohan Tungate | 4 | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 5 | 7.7 | 7 | -0.7 |
| Hans Andersen | 6 | 13.0 | 12 | -1.0 |
| Arkadiusz Potoniec | 4 | 5.1 | 4 | -1.1 |
| Robert Miśkowiak | 4 | 5.4 | 4 | -1.4 |
| Kacper Grzegorczyk | 3 | 3.6 | 1 | -2.6 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 4 | 7.0 | 4 | -3.0 |
| Paweł Staniszewski | 3 | 3.8 | 0 | -3.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.