KRA vs TAR
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Monday, April 17, 2017 · Stadion Sportowy KS WANDA, Kraków
Results
- 9Mateusz Szczepaniak2 3 1 3 312
- 10Scott Nicholls1 2 D 36+2
- 11Nicolai Klindt2 1 2 2 D7+1
- 12Ernest Koza0 3 3 2 19+1
- 13Patrick Hougaard2 2 3 1 19
- 14Szymon Szlauderbach2 D 02
- 15Eryk Borczuch1 U 01
- 1Peter Ljung3 2 1 1 29+1
- 2Artur Mroczka0 0 2 2 26+1
- 3Artur Czaja3 3 2 W 08+1
- 4Mikkel Michelsen1 1 3 1 39
- 5Kenneth Bjerre3 1 1 05
- 6Patryk Rolnicki3 0 36
- 7Michał NowińskiU 1 01
Heat by heat
- Peter Ljung · TAR3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRA2
- Scott Nicholls · KRA1*
- Artur Mroczka · TAR0
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR3
- Szymon Szlauderbach · KRA2
- Eryk Borczuch · KRA1
- Michał Nowiński · TARU
- Artur Czaja · TAR3
- Nicolai Klindt · KRA2
- Mikkel Michelsen · TAR1
- Ernest Koza · KRA0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Patrick Hougaard · KRA2
- Michał Nowiński · TAR1
- Eryk Borczuch · KRAU
- Ernest Koza · KRA3
- Peter Ljung · TAR2
- Nicolai Klindt · KRA1
- Artur Mroczka · TAR0
- Artur Czaja · TAR3
- Patrick Hougaard · KRA2
- Mikkel Michelsen · TAR1
- Szymon Szlauderbach · KRAD
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRA3
- Scott Nicholls · KRA2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR1
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR0
- Patrick Hougaard · KRA3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2
- Peter Ljung · TAR1*
- Eryk Borczuch · KRA0
- Mikkel Michelsen · TAR3
- Artur Czaja · TAR2*
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRA1
- Scott Nicholls · KRAD
- Ernest Koza · KRA3
- Nicolai Klindt · KRA2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR1
- Michał Nowiński · TAR0
- Scott Nicholls · KRA3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2
- Patrick Hougaard · KRA1
- Artur Czaja · TARW
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR3
- Nicolai Klindt · KRA2
- Peter Ljung · TAR1
- Szymon Szlauderbach · KRA0
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRA3
- Ernest Koza · KRA2*
- Mikkel Michelsen · TAR1
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR0
- Mikkel Michelsen · TAR3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2*
- Patrick Hougaard · KRA1
- Nicolai Klindt · KRAD
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRA3
- Peter Ljung · TAR2
- Ernest Koza · KRA1
- Artur Czaja · TAR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Showers
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 8 → 9 °C
- Measured · Krakow, 10 km away
- Wind
- 14 km/h E
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Measured · Krakow, 10 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.4 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 2 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 63 %
- Measured · Krakow, 10 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| KRA | TAR | KRA | TAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead KRA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | 0 | 56 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | 0 | 57 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | 0 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 5 | 5.3 | 12 | +6.7 |
| Ernest Koza | 5 | 4.2 | 9 | +4.8 |
| Patryk Rolnicki | 3 | 2.6 | 6 | +3.4 |
| Patrick Hougaard | 5 | 6.8 | 9 | +2.2 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 8.3 | 9 | +0.7 |
| Artur Czaja | 5 | 7.4 | 8 | +0.6 |
| Scott Nicholls | 4 | 5.8 | 6 | +0.2 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 5 | 7.7 | 7 | -0.7 |
| Szymon Szlauderbach | 3 | 4.0 | 2 | -2.0 |
| Eryk Borczuch | 3 | 3.5 | 1 | -2.5 |
| Artur Mroczka | 5 | 8.7 | 6 | -2.7 |
| Peter Ljung | 5 | 12.0 | 9 | -3.0 |
| Michał Nowiński | 3 | 4.1 | 1 | -3.1 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 4 | 9.4 | 5 | -4.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.