TAR vs LOD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Monday, September 4, 2017 · Tarnów Stadium, Tarnów
Results
- 9Peter Ljung3 3 3 0 312
- 10Jakub Jamróg2 1 0 3 28+2
- 11Artur Mroczka0 3 2 W5+1
- 12Artur Czaja2 2 3 2 09+1
- 13Kenneth Bjerre3 2 3 1 312
- 14Kacper Konieczny0 0 11
- 15Patryk Rolnicki1 0 12
- 1Robert Miśkowiak0 0 3 3 17+1
- 2Edward Mazur1 1 02
- 3Oleksandr Loktayev1 1 13+1
- 4Rohan Tungate3 3 2 2 1 213
- 5Hans Andersen2 0 1 14
- 6Jakub Miśkowiak3 2 2 W 2 09+1
- 7Arkadiusz Potoniec2 1 03+2
Heat by heat
- Peter Ljung · TAR3
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR2*
- Edward Mazur · LOD1
- Robert Miśkowiak · LOD0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LOD3
- Arkadiusz Potoniec · LOD2*
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR1
- Kacper Konieczny · TAR0
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Artur Czaja · TAR2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD1
- Artur Mroczka · TAR0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Hans Andersen · LOD2
- Arkadiusz Potoniec · LOD1*
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR0
- Artur Mroczka · TAR3
- Artur Czaja · TAR2*
- Edward Mazur · LOD1
- Robert Miśkowiak · LOD0
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD1
- Kacper Konieczny · TAR0
- Peter Ljung · TAR3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LOD2
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR1
- Hans Andersen · LOD0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LOD2
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR1
- Edward Mazur · LOD0
- Peter Ljung · TAR3
- Rohan Tungate · LOD2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD1*
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR0
- Artur Czaja · TAR3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2*
- Hans Andersen · LOD1
- Arkadiusz Potoniec · LOD0
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR3
- Rohan Tungate · LOD2
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR1
- Robert Miśkowiak · LOD3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LOD2*
- Kacper Konieczny · TAR1
- Robert Miśkowiak · LOD3
- Artur Czaja · TAR2
- Rohan Tungate · LOD1
- Peter Ljung · TAR0
- Peter Ljung · TAR3
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR2*
- Hans Andersen · LOD1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LOD0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Rohan Tungate · LOD2
- Robert Miśkowiak · LOD1*
- Artur Czaja · TAR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Showers → Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 18 → 13 °C
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
- Wind
- 9 km/h W
- gusts up to 45 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.3 mm
- Possible showers: a second model has the day dry
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 8.9 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 63 %
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| TAR | LOD | TAR | LOD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TAR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Ljung | 5 | 8.6 | 12 | +3.4 |
| Rohan Tungate | 6 | 9.7 | 13 | +3.3 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 6 | 7.0 | 9 | +2.0 |
| Artur Czaja | 5 | 7.8 | 9 | +1.2 |
| Robert Miśkowiak | 5 | 6.2 | 7 | +0.8 |
| Arkadiusz Potoniec | 3 | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 11.5 | 12 | +0.5 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 8.2 | 8 | -0.2 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 3 | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| Edward Mazur | 3 | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| Kacper Konieczny | 3 | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Patryk Rolnicki | 3 | 4.1 | 2 | -2.1 |
| Hans Andersen | 4 | 6.7 | 4 | -2.7 |
| Artur Mroczka | 4 | 8.1 | 5 | -3.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.