GDA vs DAU
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 3, 2017 · Stadion im. Zbigniewa Podleckiego, Gdańsk
Results
- 9Oskar Fajfer3 3 2 3 213+1
- 10Anders Thomsen1 2 1 26+2
- 11Troy Batchelor0 D 2 35+1
- 12Mikkel Bech Laursen3 2 3 2 313+1
- 13Kacper Gomolski3 1 3 0 310
- 14Marcin Turowski0 0 U0
- 15Dominik Kossakowski3 2 1 17+1
- 1Maksims Bogdanovs2 3 2 2 110
- 2Artjoms Trofimovs0 1 01
- 3Kasts Puodzuks2 3 0 1 28
- 4Olegs Mihailovs1 2 3 3 1 010+2
- 5Timo Lahti1 1 0 02
- 6Davis Kurmis2 0 13
- 7Jevgenijs Kostigovs1 0 W 12+1
Heat by heat
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA3
- Maksims Bogdanovs · DAU2
- Anders Thomsen · GDA1
- Artjoms Trofimovs · DAU0
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA3
- Davis Kurmis · DAU2
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU1*
- Marcin Turowski · GDA0
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA3
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU2
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU1*
- Troy Batchelor · GDA0
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA3
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA2*
- Timo Lahti · DAU1
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU0
- Maksims Bogdanovs · DAU3
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA2
- Artjoms Trofimovs · DAU1
- Troy Batchelor · GDAD
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU3
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU2*
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA1
- Marcin Turowski · GDA0
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA3
- Anders Thomsen · GDA2*
- Timo Lahti · DAU1
- Davis Kurmis · DAU0
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA3
- Maksims Bogdanovs · DAU2
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA1
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU3
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA2
- Anders Thomsen · GDA1*
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU0
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA3
- Troy Batchelor · GDA2*
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU1
- Timo Lahti · DAU0
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU3
- Anders Thomsen · GDA2
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU1
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA0
- Troy Batchelor · GDA3
- Maksims Bogdanovs · DAU2
- Davis Kurmis · DAU1
- Marcin Turowski · GDAU
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA3
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA2*
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU1
- Timo Lahti · DAU0
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA3
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU2
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA1
- Artjoms Trofimovs · DAU0
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA3
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA2*
- Maksims Bogdanovs · DAU1
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Showers
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 14 → 15 °C
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Wind
- 25 km/h NW
- gusts up to 41 km/h
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.6 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 90 %
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| GDA | DAU | GDA | DAU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GDA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +14 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikkel Bech Laursen | 5 | 6.5 | 13 | +6.5 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 5 | 7.0 | 13 | +6.0 |
| Olegs Mihailovs | 6 | 5.8 | 10 | +4.2 |
| Dominik Kossakowski | 4 | 3.9 | 7 | +3.1 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 5 | 9.5 | 10 | +0.5 |
| Davis Kurmis | 3 | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| Maksims Bogdanovs | 5 | 11.1 | 10 | -1.1 |
| Kasts Puodzuks | 5 | 9.2 | 8 | -1.2 |
| Artjoms Trofimovs | 3 | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| Anders Thomsen | 4 | 8.3 | 6 | -2.3 |
| Marcin Turowski | 3 | 2.5 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Troy Batchelor | 4 | 7.6 | 5 | -2.6 |
| Jevgenijs Kostigovs | 4 | 5.3 | 2 | -3.3 |
| Timo Lahti | 4 | 8.0 | 2 | -6.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.