DAU vs GDA
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, August 19, 2017 · SC Lokomotiv Daugavpils, Daugavpils
Results
- 9Maksims Bogdanovs3 3 2 D 19
- 10Olegs Mihailovs1 2 1 15+1
- 11Kasts Puodzuks2 3 3 3 112
- 12Tomas H Jonasson0 1 1 2 D4
- 13Timo Lahti3 2 1 3 09
- 14Davis Kurmis3 0 14
- 15Jevgenijs Kostigovs2 1 03+1
- 1Troy Batchelor2 2 2 2 2 313+2
- 2Renat Gafurov0 00
- 3Oskar Fajfer3 1 3 W 0 310
- 4Anders Thomsen1 3 3 2 3 214+1
- 5Kacper Gomolski2 1 2 16
- 6Dominik Kossakowski1 0 0 01
- 7Aureliusz BielińskiD U0
Heat by heat
- Maksims Bogdanovs · DAU3
- Troy Batchelor · GDA2
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU1
- Renat Gafurov · GDA0
- Davis Kurmis · DAU3
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU2*
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA1
- Aureliusz Bieliński · GDAD
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA3
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU2
- Anders Thomsen · GDA1
- Tomas H Jonasson · DAU0
- Timo Lahti · DAU3
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA2
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU1
- Aureliusz Bieliński · GDAU
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU3
- Troy Batchelor · GDA2
- Tomas H Jonasson · DAU1
- Renat Gafurov · GDA0
- Anders Thomsen · GDA3
- Timo Lahti · DAU2
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA1
- Davis Kurmis · DAU0
- Maksims Bogdanovs · DAU3
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU2*
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA1
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA0
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA3
- Troy Batchelor · GDA2*
- Timo Lahti · DAU1
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU0
- Anders Thomsen · GDA3
- Maksims Bogdanovs · DAU2
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU1
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU3
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA2
- Tomas H Jonasson · DAU1
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA0
- Timo Lahti · DAU3
- Anders Thomsen · GDA2
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU1
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA0
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU3
- Troy Batchelor · GDA2
- Davis Kurmis · DAU1
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA0
- Anders Thomsen · GDA3
- Tomas H Jonasson · DAU2
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA1
- Maksims Bogdanovs · DAUD
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA3
- Troy Batchelor · GDA2*
- Maksims Bogdanovs · DAU1
- Tomas H Jonasson · DAUD
- Troy Batchelor · GDA3
- Anders Thomsen · GDA2*
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU1
- Timo Lahti · DAU0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Rain → Showers
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 15 → 16 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 9 km/h NW
- gusts up to 39 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 2.6 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 13.1 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 95 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 2 | 10 | −8 | +8 | |
| DAU | GDA | DAU | GDA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead DAU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +12 | 100 % |
| 13 | +10 | 100 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kasts Puodzuks | 5 | 8.0 | 12 | +4.0 |
| Anders Thomsen | 6 | 10.5 | 14 | +3.5 |
| Troy Batchelor | 6 | 10.2 | 13 | +2.8 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 6 | 7.6 | 10 | +2.4 |
| Olegs Mihailovs | 4 | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| Davis Kurmis | 3 | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| Timo Lahti | 5 | 9.3 | 9 | -0.3 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 4 | 7.2 | 6 | -1.2 |
| Aureliusz Bieliński | 2 | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Jevgenijs Kostigovs | 3 | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 |
| Maksims Bogdanovs | 5 | 10.7 | 9 | -1.7 |
| Renat Gafurov | 2 | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| Tomas H Jonasson | 5 | 7.3 | 4 | -3.3 |
| Dominik Kossakowski | 4 | 4.3 | 1 | -3.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.