KRA vs LOD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 6, 2017 · Stadion Sportowy KS WANDA, Kraków
Results
- 9Patrick Hougaard2 2 0 D4+1
- 10Rasmus Jensen3 1 3 1 210+1
- 11Ernest Koza2 3 3 3 213+2
- 12Claus Vissing3 W 1 1 05
- 13Mateusz Szczepaniak2 2 3 3 313
- 14Kamil Marciniec2 W 02
- 15Piotr Pióro0 W 11
- 1Robert Miśkowiak0 2 2 2 2 08+1
- 2Edward Mazur1 1 0 13
- 3Oleksandr Loktayev1 1 1 36+1
- 4Rohan Tungate0 3 2 05
- 5Hans Andersen1 3 2 2 3 112
- 6Michał Piosicki3 0 14+1
- 7Jakub Miśkowiak1 3 04
Heat by heat
- Rasmus Jensen · KRA3
- Patrick Hougaard · KRA2*
- Edward Mazur · LOD1
- Robert Miśkowiak · LOD0
- Michał Piosicki · LOD3
- Kamil Marciniec · KRA2
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LOD1
- Piotr Pióro · KRA0
- Claus Vissing · KRA3
- Ernest Koza · KRA2*
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD1
- Rohan Tungate · LOD0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LOD3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRA2
- Hans Andersen · LOD1
- Ernest Koza · KRA3
- Robert Miśkowiak · LOD2
- Edward Mazur · LOD1
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRA2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD1
- Hans Andersen · LOD3
- Patrick Hougaard · KRA2
- Rasmus Jensen · KRA1*
- Michał Piosicki · LOD0
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRA3
- Robert Miśkowiak · LOD2
- Piotr Pióro · KRA1
- Edward Mazur · LOD0
- Rasmus Jensen · KRA3
- Rohan Tungate · LOD2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD1*
- Patrick Hougaard · KRA0
- Ernest Koza · KRA3
- Hans Andersen · LOD2
- Claus Vissing · KRA1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LOD0
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRA3
- Hans Andersen · LOD2
- Rasmus Jensen · KRA1
- Rohan Tungate · LOD0
- Ernest Koza · KRA3
- Robert Miśkowiak · LOD2
- Michał Piosicki · LOD1*
- Kamil Marciniec · KRA0
- Hans Andersen · LOD3
- Robert Miśkowiak · LOD2*
- Claus Vissing · KRA1
- Patrick Hougaard · KRAD
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD3
- Rasmus Jensen · KRA2
- Edward Mazur · LOD1
- Claus Vissing · KRA0
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRA3
- Ernest Koza · KRA2*
- Hans Andersen · LOD1
- Robert Miśkowiak · LOD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Rain
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 22 → 19 °C
- Measured · Krakow, 10 km away
- Wind
- 15 km/h W
- gusts up to 38 km/h
- Measured · Krakow, 10 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 2.2 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 70 %
- Measured · Krakow, 10 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| KRA | LOD | KRA | LOD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead KRA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ernest Koza | 5 | 7.4 | 13 | +5.6 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 5 | 9.2 | 13 | +3.8 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 6.2 | 10 | +3.8 |
| Michał Piosicki | 3 | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| Hans Andersen | 6 | 12.0 | 12 | -0.0 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 4 | 6.3 | 6 | -0.3 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 3 | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 |
| Robert Miśkowiak | 6 | 8.8 | 8 | -0.8 |
| Claus Vissing | 5 | 6.0 | 5 | -1.0 |
| Piotr Pióro | 3 | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Kamil Marciniec | 3 | 4.2 | 2 | -2.2 |
| Rohan Tungate | 4 | 7.2 | 5 | -2.2 |
| Patrick Hougaard | 4 | 6.8 | 4 | -2.8 |
| Edward Mazur | 4 | 6.0 | 3 | -3.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.