TAR vs KRA
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 30, 2017 · Tarnów Stadium, Tarnów
Results
- 9Peter Ljung2 1 1 2 28+3
- 10Jakub Jamróg3 3 3 2 213+2
- 11Artur Czaja0 W 1 34
- 12Artur Mroczka3 3 3 3 315
- 13Kenneth Bjerre3 2 3 3 314
- 14Michał Nowiński2 0 13+1
- 15Patryk Rolnicki3 1 U4
- 1Rasmus Jensen1 1 2 1 2 18
- 2Eryk Borczuch00
- 3Ernest Koza1 3 1 2 0 07+1
- 4Claus Vissing2 2 1 0 1 06
- 5Mateusz Szczepaniak2 2 2 U 17
- 6Piotr Pióro0 0 00
- 7Kamil Marciniec1 0 D1
Heat by heat
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR3
- Peter Ljung · TAR2*
- Rasmus Jensen · KRA1
- Eryk Borczuch · KRA0
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR3
- Michał Nowiński · TAR2*
- Kamil Marciniec · KRA1
- Piotr Pióro · KRA0
- Artur Mroczka · TAR3
- Claus Vissing · KRA2
- Ernest Koza · KRA1*
- Artur Czaja · TAR0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRA2
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR1
- Kamil Marciniec · KRA0
- Artur Mroczka · TAR3
- Claus Vissing · KRA2
- Rasmus Jensen · KRA1
- Ernest Koza · KRA3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2
- Claus Vissing · KRA1
- Michał Nowiński · TAR0
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRA2
- Peter Ljung · TAR1
- Piotr Pióro · KRA0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Rasmus Jensen · KRA2
- Ernest Koza · KRA1
- Patryk Rolnicki · TARU
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR3
- Ernest Koza · KRA2
- Peter Ljung · TAR1
- Claus Vissing · KRA0
- Artur Mroczka · TAR3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRA2
- Artur Czaja · TAR1
- Kamil Marciniec · KRAD
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR2*
- Rasmus Jensen · KRA1
- Ernest Koza · KRA0
- Artur Czaja · TAR3
- Rasmus Jensen · KRA2
- Michał Nowiński · TAR1
- Piotr Pióro · KRA0
- Artur Mroczka · TAR3
- Peter Ljung · TAR2*
- Claus Vissing · KRA1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRAU
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Peter Ljung · TAR2*
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRA1
- Claus Vissing · KRA0
- Artur Mroczka · TAR3
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR2*
- Rasmus Jensen · KRA1
- Ernest Koza · KRA0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 30 → 26 °C
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
- Wind
- 8 km/h SE
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 46 %
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 7 | +10 | −10 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 14–15 | 10 | 2 | +8 | −8 | |
| TAR | KRA | TAR | KRA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TAR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +8 | 96 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +10 | 98 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +10 | 98 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +14 | 99 % |
| 11 | +18 | 100 % |
| 12 | +20 | 100 % |
| 13 | +24 | 100 % |
| 14 | +28 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artur Mroczka | 5 | 9.8 | 15 | +5.2 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 8.0 | 13 | +5.0 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 11.1 | 14 | +2.9 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 6 | 7.8 | 8 | +0.2 |
| Michał Nowiński | 3 | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Patryk Rolnicki | 3 | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| Claus Vissing | 6 | 6.4 | 6 | -0.4 |
| Peter Ljung | 5 | 8.8 | 8 | -0.8 |
| Eryk Borczuch | 1 | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Ernest Koza | 6 | 8.3 | 7 | -1.3 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 5 | 8.7 | 7 | -1.7 |
| Artur Czaja | 4 | 6.8 | 4 | -2.8 |
| Piotr Pióro | 3 | 2.8 | 0 | -2.8 |
| Kamil Marciniec | 3 | 3.8 | 1 | -2.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.