DAU vs TAR
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 16, 2017 · SC Lokomotiv Daugavpils, Daugavpils
Results
- 9Maksims Bogdanovs3 3 3 3 315
- 10Artjoms Trofimovs0 0 0 00
- 11Kasts Puodzuks1 0 2 25
- 12Olegs Mihailovs0 1 D 0 34
- 13Timo Lahti2 1 2 3 19
- 14Davis Kurmis1 0 01
- 15Jevgenijs Kostigovs3 1 0 15+1
- 1Peter Ljung1 3 1 38+1
- 2Jakub Jamróg2 2 3 2 09+1
- 3Artur Czaja3 3 1 18+2
- 4Artur Mroczka2 2 2 17+3
- 5Kenneth Bjerre3 2 3 2 212
- 6Patryk Rolnicki2 1 1 26+1
- 7Michał Nowiński0 0 1 01
Heat by heat
- Maksims Bogdanovs · DAU3
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR2
- Peter Ljung · TAR1*
- Artjoms Trofimovs · DAU0
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU3
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR2
- Davis Kurmis · DAU1
- Michał Nowiński · TAR0
- Artur Czaja · TAR3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2*
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU1
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Timo Lahti · DAU2
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU1*
- Michał Nowiński · TAR0
- Peter Ljung · TAR3
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR2*
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU1
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU0
- Artur Czaja · TAR3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2*
- Timo Lahti · DAU1
- Davis Kurmis · DAU0
- Maksims Bogdanovs · DAU3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR1*
- Artjoms Trofimovs · DAU0
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR3
- Timo Lahti · DAU2
- Peter Ljung · TAR1
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU0
- Maksims Bogdanovs · DAU3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2
- Artur Czaja · TAR1*
- Artjoms Trofimovs · DAU0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU2
- Michał Nowiński · TAR1
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAUD
- Timo Lahti · DAU3
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR2
- Artur Czaja · TAR1*
- Artjoms Trofimovs · DAU0
- Peter Ljung · TAR3
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU2
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR1
- Davis Kurmis · DAU0
- Maksims Bogdanovs · DAU3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1*
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU0
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU3
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR2
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU1
- Michał Nowiński · TAR0
- Maksims Bogdanovs · DAU3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2
- Timo Lahti · DAU1
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 17 → 16 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 7 km/h W
- gusts up to 16 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.6 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 73 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| DAU | TAR | DAU | TAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead DAU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -6 | 22 % |
| 6 | -10 | 8 % |
| 7 | -10 | 5 % |
| 8 | -12 | 2 % |
| 9 | -12 | 1 % |
| 10 | -14 | 0 % |
| 11 | -14 | 2 % |
| 12 | -16 | 0 % |
| 13 | -16 | 0 % |
| 14 | -14 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maksims Bogdanovs | 5 | 8.9 | 15 | +6.1 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 6.7 | 9 | +2.3 |
| Artur Czaja | 4 | 6.8 | 8 | +1.2 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 10.8 | 12 | +1.2 |
| Peter Ljung | 4 | 7.4 | 8 | +0.6 |
| Patryk Rolnicki | 4 | 5.8 | 6 | +0.2 |
| Jevgenijs Kostigovs | 4 | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
| Timo Lahti | 5 | 9.0 | 9 | -0.0 |
| Artur Mroczka | 4 | 7.4 | 7 | -0.4 |
| Olegs Mihailovs | 5 | 5.3 | 4 | -1.3 |
| Kasts Puodzuks | 4 | 6.7 | 5 | -1.7 |
| Davis Kurmis | 3 | 3.3 | 1 | -2.3 |
| Michał Nowiński | 4 | 3.7 | 1 | -2.7 |
| Artjoms Trofimovs | 4 | 3.5 | 0 | -3.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.