PIL vs KRA

Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 9, 2017 · ASTA ARENA, Piła

Results

PIL 46 : 43 KRA

PIL

9Tomasz GapińskiW 2 1 W 25+1
10Brady KurtzW0
11Michał Szczepaniak3 3 3 3 214
12Adrian Cyfer2 2 1 3 311+2
13Norbert Kościuch2 3 3 3 112+1
14Kacper Grzegorczyk3 1 0 0 04
15Adrian Woźniak0 0 0 00

KRA

1Rasmus Jensen2 1 1 2 06+1
2Claus Vissing3 0 2 16+1
3Ernest Koza0 0 3 2 16
4Nikolaj Busk Jakobsen1 2 2 1 06+1
5Mateusz Szczepaniak3 3 2 2 313
6Piotr Pióro2 1 14+1
7Szymon Szlauderbach1 1 02+1

Heat by heat

Heat 166.25 s0:5

Claus Vissing · KRA3
Rasmus Jensen · KRA2
Brady Kurtz · PILW

Heat 267.37 s3:3

Heat 367.07 s5:1

Heat 466.59 s2:4

Heat 565.50 s5:1

Heat 666.37 s4:2

Heat 766.03 s2:4

Heat 866.50 s3:3

Heat 968.00 s1:5

Heat 1067.10 s4:2

Heat 1167.25 s3:3

Heat 1267.62 s3:3

Heat 1367.59 s3:3

Heat 1467.91 s5:1

Adrian Cyfer · PIL3
Tomasz Gapiński · PIL2*
Ernest Koza · KRA1
Rasmus Jensen · KRA0

Heat 1567.03 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Partly cloudy → Clear; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 21 → 22 °C; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Wind: 8 km/h W; gusts up to 28 km/h; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 8 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 51 %; Regional estimate (Meteostat)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	10	13	−3	+3
5–7	11	7	+4	−4
8–10	8	10	−2	+2
11–13	9	9	0	0
14–15	8	4	+4	−4
	PIL	KRA	PIL	KRA

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead PIL

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	-5	45 %
2	-5	37 %
3	-1	64 %
4	-3	46 %
5	+1	69 %
6	+3	82 %
7	+1	70 %
8	+1	71 %
9	-3	44 %
10	-1	56 %
11	-1	48 %
12	-1	57 %
13	-1	56 %
14	+3	94 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Michał Szczepaniak	5	7.5	14	+6.5
Adrian Cyfer	5	7.7	11	+3.3
Mateusz Szczepaniak	5	10.7	13	+2.3
Norbert Kościuch	5	10.9	12	+1.1
Claus Vissing	4	5.3	6	+0.7
Piotr Pióro	3	3.3	4	+0.7
Nikolaj Busk Jakobsen	5	5.4	6	+0.6
Szymon Szlauderbach	3	2.8	2	-0.8
Kacper Grzegorczyk	5	5.1	4	-1.1
Brady Kurtz	1	1.2	0	-1.2
Ernest Koza	5	7.4	6	-1.4
Rasmus Jensen	5	7.5	6	-1.5
Tomasz Gapiński	5	10.0	5	-5.0
Adrian Woźniak	4	5.1	0	-5.1

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 68.0065.50 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 38.0:29.7 outside 3 + 4

Trend ◀ +1.05 towards the inside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source