TAR vs LOD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 18, 2017 · Tarnów Stadium, Tarnów
Results
- 9Mikkel Michelsen1 W W 2 14+2
- 10Peter Ljung3 W 14
- 11Artur Czaja0 D 3 2 3 210+2
- 12Artur Mroczka2 2 1 3 210
- 13Kenneth Bjerre3 2 2 3 313
- 14Michał Nowiński1 0 12
- 15Patryk Rolnicki3 2 05+1
- 1Robert Miśkowiak2 1 3 2 19
- 2Oleksandr Loktayev0 3 1 04
- 3Edward Mazur1 1 3 1 06
- 4Rohan Tungate3 3 2 0 D8+1
- 5Hans Andersen1 3 2 1 310
- 6Michał Piosicki0 2 02
- 7Arkadiusz Potoniec2 0 02
Heat by heat
- Peter Ljung · TAR3
- Robert Miśkowiak · LOD2
- Mikkel Michelsen · TAR1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD0
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR3
- Arkadiusz Potoniec · LOD2
- Michał Nowiński · TAR1
- Michał Piosicki · LOD0
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2
- Edward Mazur · LOD1
- Artur Czaja · TAR0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR2*
- Hans Andersen · LOD1
- Arkadiusz Potoniec · LOD0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2
- Robert Miśkowiak · LOD1
- Artur Czaja · TARD
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2
- Edward Mazur · LOD1
- Michał Nowiński · TAR0
- Hans Andersen · LOD3
- Michał Piosicki · LOD2
- Robert Miśkowiak · LOD3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD1
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR0
- Edward Mazur · LOD3
- Rohan Tungate · LOD2*
- Peter Ljung · TAR1
- Artur Czaja · TAR3
- Hans Andersen · LOD2
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1
- Arkadiusz Potoniec · LOD0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Artur Czaja · TAR2*
- Edward Mazur · LOD1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD0
- Artur Czaja · TAR3
- Robert Miśkowiak · LOD2
- Michał Nowiński · TAR1
- Michał Piosicki · LOD0
- Artur Mroczka · TAR3
- Mikkel Michelsen · TAR2*
- Hans Andersen · LOD1
- Rohan Tungate · LOD0
- Hans Andersen · LOD3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2
- Mikkel Michelsen · TAR1*
- Edward Mazur · LOD0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Artur Czaja · TAR2*
- Robert Miśkowiak · LOD1
- Rohan Tungate · LODD
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 23 → 21 °C
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
- Wind
- 6 km/h NW
- gusts up to 29 km/h
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 5.8 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 59 %
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 4 | 13 | −9 | +9 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| TAR | LOD | TAR | LOD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TAR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | -3 | 46 % |
| 8 | -5 | 35 % |
| 9 | -9 | 12 % |
| 10 | -7 | 15 % |
| 11 | -3 | 36 % |
| 12 | -1 | 57 % |
| 13 | +3 | 91 % |
| 14 | +3 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Miśkowiak | 5 | 6.7 | 9 | +2.3 |
| Edward Mazur | 5 | 4.1 | 6 | +1.9 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 11.3 | 13 | +1.7 |
| Patryk Rolnicki | 3 | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| Artur Mroczka | 5 | 8.9 | 10 | +1.1 |
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 6.9 | 8 | +1.1 |
| Artur Czaja | 6 | 10.0 | 10 | -0.0 |
| Hans Andersen | 5 | 10.1 | 10 | -0.1 |
| Arkadiusz Potoniec | 3 | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 4 | 5.2 | 4 | -1.2 |
| Michał Piosicki | 3 | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| Peter Ljung | 3 | 5.3 | 4 | -1.3 |
| Michał Nowiński | 3 | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 8.4 | 4 | -4.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.