DAU vs PIL
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, June 17, 2017 · SC Lokomotiv Daugavpils, Daugavpils
Results
- 9Maksims Bogdanovs2 3 3 311
- 10Jevgenijs Kostigovs0 2 2 3 07+2
- 11Kasts Puodzuks3 1 3 1 19
- 12Tomas H Jonasson1 3 2 28+2
- 13Timo Lahti3 3 3 211+1
- 14Olegs Mihailovs2 1 2 27+1
- 15Davis Kurmis3 1 1 05
- 1Norbert Kościuch3 2 2 1 3 314
- 2Vadim Tarasenko1 0 01
- 3Adrian Cyfer2 0 1 3 17
- 4Brady Kurtz0 2 0 0 1 25+1
- 5Tomasz Gapiński2 1 1 04
- 6Kacper Grzegorczyk0 D D0
- 7Adrian Woźniak1 0 D1
Heat by heat
- Norbert Kościuch · PIL3
- Maksims Bogdanovs · DAU2
- Vadim Tarasenko · PIL1
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU0
- Davis Kurmis · DAU3
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU2*
- Adrian Woźniak · PIL1
- Kacper Grzegorczyk · PIL0
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU3
- Adrian Cyfer · PIL2
- Tomas H Jonasson · DAU1
- Brady Kurtz · PIL0
- Timo Lahti · DAU3
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL2
- Davis Kurmis · DAU1
- Adrian Woźniak · PIL0
- Tomas H Jonasson · DAU3
- Norbert Kościuch · PIL2
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU1
- Vadim Tarasenko · PIL0
- Timo Lahti · DAU3
- Brady Kurtz · PIL2
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU1
- Adrian Cyfer · PIL0
- Maksims Bogdanovs · DAU3
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU2*
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL1
- Kacper Grzegorczyk · PILD
- Timo Lahti · DAU3
- Norbert Kościuch · PIL2
- Davis Kurmis · DAU1
- Brady Kurtz · PIL0
- Maksims Bogdanovs · DAU3
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU2*
- Adrian Cyfer · PIL1
- Brady Kurtz · PIL0
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU3
- Tomas H Jonasson · DAU2*
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL1
- Adrian Woźniak · PILD
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU3
- Timo Lahti · DAU2*
- Norbert Kościuch · PIL1
- Vadim Tarasenko · PIL0
- Norbert Kościuch · PIL3
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU2
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU1
- Kacper Grzegorczyk · PILD
- Maksims Bogdanovs · DAU3
- Tomas H Jonasson · DAU2*
- Brady Kurtz · PIL1
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL0
- Adrian Cyfer · PIL3
- Brady Kurtz · PIL2*
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU1
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU0
- Norbert Kościuch · PIL3
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU2
- Adrian Cyfer · PIL1
- Davis Kurmis · DAU0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 23 → 21 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 7 km/h N
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 41 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 11–13 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 14–15 | 3 | 9 | −6 | +6 | |
| DAU | PIL | DAU | PIL | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead DAU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +14 | 100 % |
| 8 | +16 | 100 % |
| 9 | +20 | 100 % |
| 10 | +24 | 100 % |
| 11 | +28 | 100 % |
| 12 | +28 | 100 % |
| 13 | +32 | 100 % |
| 14 | +28 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maksims Bogdanovs | 4 | 7.7 | 11 | +3.3 |
| Timo Lahti | 4 | 8.0 | 11 | +3.0 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 6 | 11.2 | 14 | +2.8 |
| Jevgenijs Kostigovs | 5 | 4.6 | 7 | +2.4 |
| Tomas H Jonasson | 4 | 6.2 | 8 | +1.8 |
| Olegs Mihailovs | 4 | 5.3 | 7 | +1.7 |
| Kasts Puodzuks | 5 | 8.6 | 9 | +0.4 |
| Davis Kurmis | 4 | 5.0 | 5 | -0.0 |
| Adrian Cyfer | 5 | 8.2 | 7 | -1.2 |
| Brady Kurtz | 6 | 6.9 | 5 | -1.9 |
| Adrian Woźniak | 3 | 3.6 | 1 | -2.6 |
| Kacper Grzegorczyk | 3 | 2.8 | 0 | -2.8 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 3 | 3.9 | 1 | -2.9 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 4 | 7.9 | 4 | -3.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.