LOD vs KRA
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 9, 2017 · Moto Arena w Łodzi, Łódź
Results
- 9Oleksandr Loktayev1 T 2 3 39+1
- 10Hans Andersen0 3 3 0 17
- 11Rohan Tungate2 3 3 3 112+1
- 12Edward Mazur3 0 1 04
- 13Robert Miśkowiak3 2 1 1 29
- 14Michał Piosicki3 0 14
- 15Arkadiusz Potoniec2 2 1 05+2
- 1Mateusz Szczepaniak2 1 3 2 2 313+3
- 2Scott Nicholls3 2 2 3 D D10+1
- 3Ernest Koza1 1 02
- 4Nicolai Klindt0 3 1 15+1
- 5Patrick HougaardT 2 2 2 28
- 6Eryk Borczuch0 1 0 01
- 7Szymon Szlauderbach1 0 01
Heat by heat
- Scott Nicholls · KRA3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRA2*
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD1
- Hans Andersen · LOD0
- Michał Piosicki · LOD3
- Arkadiusz Potoniec · LOD2*
- Szymon Szlauderbach · KRA1
- Eryk Borczuch · KRA0
- Edward Mazur · LOD3
- Rohan Tungate · LOD2*
- Ernest Koza · KRA1
- Nicolai Klindt · KRA0
- Robert Miśkowiak · LOD3
- Arkadiusz Potoniec · LOD2*
- Eryk Borczuch · KRA1
- Szymon Szlauderbach · KRA0
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Scott Nicholls · KRA2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRA1*
- Edward Mazur · LOD0
- Nicolai Klindt · KRA3
- Robert Miśkowiak · LOD2
- Ernest Koza · KRA1
- Michał Piosicki · LOD0
- Hans Andersen · LOD3
- Patrick Hougaard · KRA2
- Arkadiusz Potoniec · LOD1
- Eryk Borczuch · KRA0
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRA3
- Scott Nicholls · KRA2*
- Robert Miśkowiak · LOD1
- Arkadiusz Potoniec · LOD0
- Hans Andersen · LOD3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD2*
- Nicolai Klindt · KRA1
- Ernest Koza · KRA0
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Patrick Hougaard · KRA2
- Edward Mazur · LOD1
- Szymon Szlauderbach · KRA0
- Scott Nicholls · KRA3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRA2*
- Robert Miśkowiak · LOD1
- Hans Andersen · LOD0
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRA2
- Michał Piosicki · LOD1
- Eryk Borczuch · KRA0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD3
- Patrick Hougaard · KRA2
- Nicolai Klindt · KRA1*
- Edward Mazur · LOD0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD3
- Patrick Hougaard · KRA2
- Hans Andersen · LOD1
- Scott Nicholls · KRAD
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRA3
- Robert Miśkowiak · LOD2
- Rohan Tungate · LOD1
- Scott Nicholls · KRAD
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 12 → 13 °C
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Wind
- 10 km/h SW
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 66 %
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| LOD | KRA | LOD | KRA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LOD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 6 | 6.1 | 13 | +6.9 |
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 8.4 | 12 | +3.6 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 4 | 6.5 | 9 | +2.5 |
| Patrick Hougaard | 4 | 5.8 | 8 | +2.2 |
| Robert Miśkowiak | 5 | 6.9 | 9 | +2.1 |
| Edward Mazur | 4 | 4.0 | 4 | -0.0 |
| Scott Nicholls | 6 | 10.1 | 10 | -0.1 |
| Michał Piosicki | 3 | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| Arkadiusz Potoniec | 4 | 6.0 | 5 | -1.0 |
| Ernest Koza | 3 | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 4 | 7.5 | 5 | -2.5 |
| Hans Andersen | 5 | 10.2 | 7 | -3.2 |
| Szymon Szlauderbach | 3 | 4.7 | 1 | -3.7 |
| Eryk Borczuch | 4 | 6.0 | 1 | -5.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.