Dackarna Målilla vs Lejonen
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, May 6, 2025 · Skrotfrag Arena, Målilla
Results
- 1Nicki Pedersen1 2 1 R4
- 2Timo Lahti3 3 1 2 312+1
- 3Rasmus Jensen1 1 3 0 R5+2
- 4Frederik Jakobsen2 2 2 3 211+1
- 5Andzejs Lebedevs2 2 0 26
- 6Tomas H Jonasson2 1 03+2
- 7Nazar Parnitskyi3 1 3 29+1
- 1Bartosz Zmarzlik2 3 3 2 3 316
- 2Oliver Berntzon0 FX 1 01
- 3Casper Henriksson0 0 11
- 4Dominik Kubera3 2 3 1 3 113
- 5Kacper Woryna3 1 2 1 18+1
- 6Sammy Van Dyck0 0 00
- 7Erik Persson1 0 01
Heat by heat
- Timo Lahti · DAC3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ2
- Nicki Pedersen · DAC1
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ0
- Nazar Parnitskyi · DAC3
- Tomas H Jonasson · DAC2*
- Erik Persson · LEJ1
- Sammy Van Dyck · LEJ0
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ3
- Frederik Jakobsen · DAC2
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC1*
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ0
- Kacper Woryna · LEJ3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC2
- Tomas H Jonasson · DAC1*
- Erik Persson · LEJ0
- Timo Lahti · DAC3
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ2
- Nazar Parnitskyi · DAC1
- Sammy Van Dyck · LEJ0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Frederik Jakobsen · DAC2
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC1*
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJFX
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ3
- Nicki Pedersen · DAC2
- Timo Lahti · DAC1*
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ0
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC3
- Frederik Jakobsen · DAC2*
- Kacper Woryna · LEJ1
- Erik Persson · LEJ0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC2
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ1
- Tomas H Jonasson · DAC0
- Nazar Parnitskyi · DAC3
- Kacper Woryna · LEJ2
- Nicki Pedersen · DAC1
- Sammy Van Dyck · LEJ0
- Frederik Jakobsen · DAC3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ2
- Kacper Woryna · LEJ1*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Timo Lahti · DAC2
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ1
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC0
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC2
- Kacper Woryna · LEJ1
- Nicki Pedersen · DACR
- Timo Lahti · DAC3
- Nazar Parnitskyi · DAC2*
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ1
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Frederik Jakobsen · DAC2
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ1
- Rasmus Jensen · DACR
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 9 → 5 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 6 km/h E
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 62 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| DAC | LEJ | DAC | LEJ | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead DAC
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +12 | 98 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +12 | 100 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timo Lahti | 5 | 7.0 | 12 | +5.0 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 5 | 6.1 | 11 | +4.9 |
| Nazar Parnitskyi | 4 | 7.2 | 9 | +1.8 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 6 | 14.9 | 16 | +1.1 |
| Tomas H Jonasson | 3 | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| Dominik Kubera | 6 | 13.2 | 13 | -0.2 |
| Casper Henriksson | 3 | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 6.0 | 5 | -1.0 |
| Erik Persson | 3 | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 4 | 7.1 | 6 | -1.1 |
| Kacper Woryna | 5 | 9.2 | 8 | -1.2 |
| Sammy Van Dyck | 3 | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 4 | 6.0 | 4 | -2.0 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 4 | 5.2 | 1 | -4.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.