Kumla Indianerna vs Dackarna Målilla
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, May 14, 2024 · Kumla Motorstadion, Kumla
Results
- 1Szymon Woźniak1 1 3 3 311+1
- 2Krzysztof Buczkowski3 F 2 1 06
- 3Patryk Dudek3 3 3 3 315
- 4Bartłomiej Kowalski1 2 25+2
- 5Gleb Chugunov1 3 2 1 07
- 6Johannes StarkX 0 00
- 7Jonatan Grahn3 2 16
- 1Timo Lahti0 1 2 2 27
- 3Rasmus Jensen2 0 1 3 0 17+2
- 4Ryan Douglas2 0 3 3 1 09
- 5Andzejs Lebedevs3 R 1 2 2 210
- 6Noel Wahlquist1 1 02+1
- 7Filip Hjelmland2 2 0 15+2
Heat by heat
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND3
- Ryan Douglas · DAC2
- Szymon Woźniak · IND1
- Timo Lahti · DAC0
- Jonatan Grahn · IND3
- Filip Hjelmland · DAC2
- Noel Wahlquist · DAC1*
- Johannes Stark · INDX
- Patryk Dudek · IND3
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC2
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · IND1
- Ryan Douglas · DAC0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC3
- Filip Hjelmland · DAC2*
- Gleb Chugunov · IND1
- Johannes Stark · IND0
- Ryan Douglas · DAC3
- Jonatan Grahn · IND2
- Noel Wahlquist · DAC1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · INDF
- Patryk Dudek · IND3
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · IND2*
- Timo Lahti · DAC1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DACR
- Ryan Douglas · DAC3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND2
- Szymon Woźniak · IND1*
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC0
- Patryk Dudek · IND3
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · IND2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC1
- Filip Hjelmland · DAC0
- Gleb Chugunov · IND3
- Timo Lahti · DAC2
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC1*
- Johannes Stark · IND0
- Szymon Woźniak · IND3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC2
- Jonatan Grahn · IND1
- Noel Wahlquist · DAC0
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC3
- Gleb Chugunov · IND2
- Ryan Douglas · DAC1
- Patryk Dudek · IND3
- Timo Lahti · DAC2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND1
- Ryan Douglas · DAC0
- Szymon Woźniak · IND3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC2
- Gleb Chugunov · IND1
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC0
- Szymon Woźniak · IND3
- Timo Lahti · DAC2
- Filip Hjelmland · DAC1*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND0
- Patryk Dudek · IND3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC2
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC1*
- Gleb Chugunov · IND0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 24 → 18 °C
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
- Wind
- 13 km/h SE
- gusts up to 18 km/h
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 43 %
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| IND | DAC | IND | DAC | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead IND
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 7.9 | 15 | +7.1 |
| Jonatan Grahn | 3 | 2.8 | 6 | +3.2 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 5 | 9.1 | 11 | +1.9 |
| Bartłomiej Kowalski | 3 | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
| Noel Wahlquist | 3 | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| Filip Hjelmland | 4 | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 |
| Timo Lahti | 5 | 8.2 | 7 | -1.2 |
| Ryan Douglas | 6 | 10.3 | 9 | -1.3 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 5 | 8.6 | 7 | -1.6 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 6 | 11.7 | 10 | -1.7 |
| Johannes Stark | 3 | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 8.0 | 6 | -2.0 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 6 | 11.2 | 7 | -4.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.