Dackarna Målilla vs Lejonen
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, September 17, 2024 · Skrotfrag Arena, Målilla
Results
- 1Brady Kurtz0 3 3 0 39
- 2Timo Lahti1 1 1 03+1
- 3Rasmus Jensen2 0 2 2 17+2
- 4Dan Bewley3 1 3 2 211+1
- 5Andzejs Lebedevs1 1 3 2 07
- 6David Bellego2 0 02
- 7Tomas H Jonasson1 2 14+1
- 1Bartosz Zmarzlik2 3 3 3 314+1
- 2Oliver Berntzon3 2 2 1 19+2
- 3Mateusz Cierniak0 0 11
- 4Dominik Kubera1 3 2 1 29
- 5Kacper Woryna3 1 2 3 09
- 6Sammy Van Dyck0 0 00
- 7Casper Henriksson3 2 05+1
Heat by heat
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ2*
- Timo Lahti · DAC1
- Brady Kurtz · DAC0
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ3
- David Bellego · DAC2
- Tomas H Jonasson · DAC1*
- Sammy Van Dyck · LEJ0
- Dan Bewley · DAC3
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC2*
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ1
- Kacper Woryna · LEJ3
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC1
- David Bellego · DAC0
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ3
- Tomas H Jonasson · DAC2
- Timo Lahti · DAC1*
- Sammy Van Dyck · LEJ0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ2*
- Dan Bewley · DAC1
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC0
- Brady Kurtz · DAC3
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ2
- Timo Lahti · DAC1
- Mateusz Cierniak · LEJ0
- Dan Bewley · DAC3
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC2*
- Kacper Woryna · LEJ1
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC1
- David Bellego · DAC0
- Brady Kurtz · DAC3
- Kacper Woryna · LEJ2
- Tomas H Jonasson · DAC1
- Sammy Van Dyck · LEJ0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC3
- Dan Bewley · DAC2*
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ1
- Mateusz Cierniak · LEJ0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC2
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ1
- Timo Lahti · DAC0
- Kacper Woryna · LEJ3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LEJ1
- Brady Kurtz · DAC0
- Brady Kurtz · DAC3
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ2
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC1
- Kacper Woryna · LEJ0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Dan Bewley · DAC2
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 16 → 13 °C
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Wind
- 1 km/h N
- gusts up to 7 km/h
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 85 %
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| DAC | LEJ | DAC | LEJ | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead DAC
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 4 | -8 | 15 % |
| 5 | -8 | 18 % |
| 6 | -12 | 7 % |
| 7 | -10 | 5 % |
| 8 | -6 | 16 % |
| 9 | -10 | 2 % |
| 10 | -8 | 5 % |
| 11 | -4 | 18 % |
| 12 | -6 | 6 % |
| 13 | -8 | 2 % |
| 14 | -6 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Berntzon | 5 | 4.8 | 9 | +4.2 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 11.3 | 14 | +2.7 |
| Dan Bewley | 5 | 8.8 | 11 | +2.2 |
| Casper Henriksson | 3 | 3.1 | 5 | +1.9 |
| Tomas H Jonasson | 3 | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 8.6 | 9 | +0.4 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 7.5 | 7 | -0.5 |
| Dominik Kubera | 5 | 9.6 | 9 | -0.6 |
| Kacper Woryna | 5 | 9.9 | 9 | -0.9 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 5 | 8.5 | 7 | -1.5 |
| David Bellego | 3 | 3.6 | 2 | -1.6 |
| Sammy Van Dyck | 3 | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Timo Lahti | 4 | 5.5 | 3 | -2.5 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 3 | 4.1 | 1 | -3.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.