Kumla Indianerna vs Lejonen
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, September 10, 2024 · Kumla Motorstadion, Kumla
Results
- 1Szymon Woźniak2 1 1 1 05+1
- 2Krzysztof Buczkowski3 2 0 0 05
- 3Patryk Dudek2 2 2 0 1 310+1
- 4Gleb Chugunov0 00
- 5Anders Thomsen2 3 3 3 3 317
- 6Rasmus Karlsson1 01
- 7Jonatan Grahn0 1 01+1
- 1Bartosz Zmarzlik1 3 2 3 110+1
- 2Oliver Berntzon0 1 1 1 25+2
- 3Mateusz Cierniak3 3 2 0 19+1
- 4Dominik Kubera1 3 2 28+2
- 5Kacper Woryna3 1 3 2 211
- 6Sammy Van Dyck2 0 24+2
- 7Casper Henriksson3 1 04
Heat by heat
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND3
- Szymon Woźniak · IND2*
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ1
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ0
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ3
- Sammy Van Dyck · LEJ2*
- Rasmus Karlsson · IND1
- Jonatan Grahn · IND0
- Mateusz Cierniak · LEJ3
- Patryk Dudek · IND2
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ1
- Gleb Chugunov · IND0
- Kacper Woryna · LEJ3
- Anders Thomsen · IND2
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ1
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND2
- Jonatan Grahn · IND1*
- Sammy Van Dyck · LEJ0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Patryk Dudek · IND2
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ1
- Gleb Chugunov · IND0
- Mateusz Cierniak · LEJ3
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ2*
- Szymon Woźniak · IND1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND0
- Anders Thomsen · IND3
- Patryk Dudek · IND2*
- Kacper Woryna · LEJ1
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ0
- Anders Thomsen · IND3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ2
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ1*
- Rasmus Karlsson · IND0
- Kacper Woryna · LEJ3
- Sammy Van Dyck · LEJ2*
- Szymon Woźniak · IND1
- Jonatan Grahn · IND0
- Anders Thomsen · IND3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LEJ2
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ1*
- Patryk Dudek · IND0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ2*
- Patryk Dudek · IND1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND0
- Anders Thomsen · IND3
- Kacper Woryna · LEJ2
- Szymon Woźniak · IND1
- Mateusz Cierniak · LEJ0
- Patryk Dudek · IND3
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LEJ1*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND0
- Anders Thomsen · IND3
- Kacper Woryna · LEJ2
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ1*
- Szymon Woźniak · IND0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 15 → 13 °C
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
- Wind
- 15 km/h S
- gusts up to 27 km/h
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 8.5 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 71 %
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| IND | LEJ | IND | LEJ | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead IND
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | -8 | 13 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | -8 | 5 % |
| 11 | -8 | 8 % |
| 12 | -12 | 0 % |
| 13 | -10 | 1 % |
| 14 | -10 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anders Thomsen | 6 | 11.8 | 17 | +5.2 |
| Sammy Van Dyck | 3 | 1.9 | 4 | +2.1 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 5 | 6.9 | 9 | +2.1 |
| Kacper Woryna | 5 | 10.0 | 11 | +1.0 |
| Dominik Kubera | 4 | 7.5 | 8 | +0.5 |
| Casper Henriksson | 3 | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| Rasmus Karlsson | 2 | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 5 | 5.5 | 5 | -0.5 |
| Patryk Dudek | 6 | 10.9 | 10 | -0.9 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 5 | 5.9 | 5 | -0.9 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 11.0 | 10 | -1.0 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 2 | 2.4 | 0 | -2.4 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 7.5 | 5 | -2.5 |
| Jonatan Grahn | 3 | 3.6 | 1 | -2.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.