Eskilstuna Smederna vs Dackarna Målilla
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, August 20, 2024 · Eskilstuna Motorstadion, Eskilstuna
Results
- 1Frederik Jakobsen0 1 2 2 27+2
- 2Rohan Tungate1 3 0 04
- 3Michael Jepsen Jensen3 3 3 3 113
- 4Kim Nilsson1 1 2 2 06+2
- 5Vadim Tarasenko0 2 3 3 311
- 6Philip Hellström Bängs3 2 05
- 7Joel Andersson0 2 13+2
- 1Brady Kurtz3 2 3 2 313
- 2Timo Lahti2 0 13+1
- 3Rasmus Jensen2 3 1 1 29+1
- 4Dan Bewley0 1 2 1 15+2
- 5Andzejs Lebedevs1 R 3 0 R4
- 6Tomas H Jonasson1 0 01+1
- 7Ryan Douglas2 3 1 R6
Heat by heat
- Brady Kurtz · DAC3
- Timo Lahti · DAC2*
- Rohan Tungate · SME1
- Frederik Jakobsen · SME0
- Philip Hellström Bängs · SME3
- Ryan Douglas · DAC2
- Tomas H Jonasson · DAC1*
- Joel Andersson · SME0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC2
- Kim Nilsson · SME1
- Dan Bewley · DAC0
- Ryan Douglas · DAC3
- Philip Hellström Bängs · SME2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC1
- Vadim Tarasenko · SME0
- Rohan Tungate · SME3
- Joel Andersson · SME2*
- Dan Bewley · DAC1
- Tomas H Jonasson · DAC0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Brady Kurtz · DAC2
- Kim Nilsson · SME1
- Timo Lahti · DAC0
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC3
- Dan Bewley · DAC2*
- Frederik Jakobsen · SME1
- Rohan Tungate · SME0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Kim Nilsson · SME2*
- Ryan Douglas · DAC1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DACR
- Brady Kurtz · DAC3
- Vadim Tarasenko · SME2
- Timo Lahti · DAC1
- Philip Hellström Bängs · SME0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC3
- Frederik Jakobsen · SME2
- Joel Andersson · SME1*
- Tomas H Jonasson · DAC0
- Vadim Tarasenko · SME3
- Kim Nilsson · SME2*
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC1
- Ryan Douglas · DACR
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Brady Kurtz · DAC2
- Dan Bewley · DAC1*
- Rohan Tungate · SME0
- Vadim Tarasenko · SME3
- Frederik Jakobsen · SME2*
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC0
- Vadim Tarasenko · SME3
- Frederik Jakobsen · SME2*
- Dan Bewley · DAC1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DACR
- Brady Kurtz · DAC3
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1
- Kim Nilsson · SME0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 20 → 16 °C
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Wind
- 13 km/h SE
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 59 %
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| SME | DAC | SME | DAC | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SME
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | 0 | 56 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 8.3 | 13 | +4.7 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 10.1 | 13 | +2.9 |
| Philip Hellström Bängs | 3 | 2.6 | 5 | +2.4 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 5 | 8.8 | 11 | +2.2 |
| Kim Nilsson | 5 | 5.2 | 6 | +0.8 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 8.3 | 9 | +0.7 |
| Joel Andersson | 3 | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Timo Lahti | 3 | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 5 | 7.7 | 7 | -0.7 |
| Tomas H Jonasson | 3 | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Rohan Tungate | 4 | 5.1 | 4 | -1.1 |
| Ryan Douglas | 4 | 7.7 | 6 | -1.7 |
| Dan Bewley | 5 | 8.6 | 5 | -3.6 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 5 | 8.8 | 4 | -4.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.