Piraterna Speedway vs Kumla Indianerna
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, August 20, 2024 · Fornås Arena, Motala
Results
- 1Piotr Pawlicki0 3 03
- 2Maciej Janowski3 3 3 1 111+1
- 3Przemysław Pawlicki3 3 3 3 214
- 4Mathias Thörnblom0 F 1 01
- 5Oskar Fajfer2 2 1 2 29+1
- 6Norbert Krakowiak2 3 1 06+2
- 7Jonathan Ejnemark3 0 03
- 1Szymon Woźniak1 2 3 2 0 08+2
- 2Gleb Chugunov2 1 03+1
- 3Patryk Dudek2 2 3 3 313
- 4Anders Thomsen1 2 1 2 39+2
- 5Krzysztof Buczkowski1 2 2 1 17
- 6Jonatan Grahn1 1 13+2
- 7Rasmus Karlsson0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Maciej Janowski · PIR3
- Gleb Chugunov · IND2
- Szymon Woźniak · IND1*
- Jonathan Ejnemark · PIR3
- Norbert Krakowiak · PIR2*
- Jonatan Grahn · IND1
- Rasmus Karlsson · IND0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR3
- Patryk Dudek · IND2
- Anders Thomsen · IND1*
- Mathias Thörnblom · PIR0
- Norbert Krakowiak · PIR3
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR2*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND1
- Rasmus Karlsson · IND0
- Maciej Janowski · PIR3
- Anders Thomsen · IND2
- Jonatan Grahn · IND1*
- Jonathan Ejnemark · PIR0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR3
- Szymon Woźniak · IND2
- Gleb Chugunov · IND1*
- Mathias Thörnblom · PIRF
- Maciej Janowski · PIR3
- Patryk Dudek · IND2
- Anders Thomsen · IND1*
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND2
- Mathias Thörnblom · PIR1
- Rasmus Karlsson · IND0
- Szymon Woźniak · IND3
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR2
- Norbert Krakowiak · PIR1*
- Gleb Chugunov · IND0
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND2
- Jonatan Grahn · IND1*
- Jonathan Ejnemark · PIR0
- Patryk Dudek · IND3
- Szymon Woźniak · IND2*
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR1
- Mathias Thörnblom · PIR0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR3
- Anders Thomsen · IND2
- Maciej Janowski · PIR1
- Szymon Woźniak · IND0
- Patryk Dudek · IND3
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND1
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR0
- Patryk Dudek · IND3
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND1
- Norbert Krakowiak · PIR0
- Anders Thomsen · IND3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR2
- Maciej Janowski · PIR1*
- Szymon Woźniak · IND0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 20 → 16 °C
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Wind
- 5 km/h SE
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 74 %
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| PIR | IND | PIR | IND | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead PIR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +10 | 98 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 8.1 | 14 | +5.9 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 9.3 | 13 | +3.7 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 9.2 | 11 | +1.8 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 4 | 4.8 | 6 | +1.2 |
| Jonathan Ejnemark | 3 | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 5 | 8.6 | 9 | +0.4 |
| Jonatan Grahn | 3 | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| Anders Thomsen | 5 | 10.3 | 9 | -1.3 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 3 | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 6 | 9.3 | 8 | -1.3 |
| Rasmus Karlsson | 3 | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 9.2 | 7 | -2.2 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 3 | 5.6 | 3 | -2.6 |
| Mathias Thörnblom | 4 | 3.6 | 1 | -2.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.