Piraterna Speedway vs Dackarna Målilla
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, August 13, 2024 · Fornås Arena, Motala
Results
- 2Paweł Przedpełski1 3 3 2 1 111+1
- 3Przemysław Pawlicki2 1 1 2 3 R9+1
- 4Vaclav Milik2 3 1 0 0 06+1
- 5Oskar Fajfer0 0 1 3 2 39
- 6Mathias Thörnblom2 3 R5+1
- 7Jonathan Ejnemark3 1 04
- 1Brady Kurtz0 2 3 2 18+1
- 2Timo Lahti3 0 2 1 39+2
- 3Rasmus Jensen0 1 2 36+1
- 4Ryan Douglas3 2 2 0 29
- 5Andzejs Lebedevs1 3 3 1 210+2
- 6Tomas H Jonasson0 0 11
- 7Filip Hjelmland1 2 03
Heat by heat
- Timo Lahti · DAC3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR2
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR1*
- Brady Kurtz · DAC0
- Jonathan Ejnemark · PIR3
- Mathias Thörnblom · PIR2*
- Filip Hjelmland · DAC1
- Tomas H Jonasson · DAC0
- Ryan Douglas · DAC3
- Vaclav Milik · PIR2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR1*
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC0
- Mathias Thörnblom · PIR3
- Filip Hjelmland · DAC2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC1*
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR0
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR3
- Ryan Douglas · DAC2
- Jonathan Ejnemark · PIR1
- Tomas H Jonasson · DAC0
- Vaclav Milik · PIR3
- Brady Kurtz · DAC2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR1
- Timo Lahti · DAC0
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR3
- Ryan Douglas · DAC2
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC1*
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR2
- Vaclav Milik · PIR1*
- Filip Hjelmland · DAC0
- Brady Kurtz · DAC3
- Timo Lahti · DAC2*
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR1
- Mathias Thörnblom · PIRR
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC3
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR2
- Tomas H Jonasson · DAC1
- Jonathan Ejnemark · PIR0
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR3
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC2
- Timo Lahti · DAC1*
- Vaclav Milik · PIR0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR3
- Brady Kurtz · DAC2
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR1
- Ryan Douglas · DAC0
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC3
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC1
- Vaclav Milik · PIR0
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR3
- Ryan Douglas · DAC2
- Brady Kurtz · DAC1*
- Vaclav Milik · PIR0
- Timo Lahti · DAC3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC2*
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIRR
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 22 → 19 °C
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Wind
- 6 km/h SE
- gusts up to 15 km/h
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 65 %
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| PIR | DAC | PIR | DAC | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead PIR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timo Lahti | 5 | 5.5 | 9 | +3.5 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 6 | 8.5 | 11 | +2.5 |
| Jonathan Ejnemark | 3 | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| Ryan Douglas | 5 | 8.0 | 9 | +1.0 |
| Mathias Thörnblom | 3 | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| Filip Hjelmland | 3 | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 6 | 8.9 | 9 | +0.1 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 5 | 10.0 | 10 | +0.0 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 6 | 10.0 | 9 | -1.0 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 4 | 7.5 | 6 | -1.5 |
| Tomas H Jonasson | 3 | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| Vaclav Milik | 6 | 8.3 | 6 | -2.3 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 10.9 | 8 | -2.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.