Kumla Indianerna vs Eskilstuna Smederna
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, August 13, 2024 · Kumla Motorstadion, Kumla
Results
- 1Gleb ChugunovR 3 3 3 312
- 2Szymon Woźniak3 3 0 3 09
- 3Patryk Dudek2 3 1 2 210+1
- 4Tom Brennan0 1 3 15
- 5Krzysztof Buczkowski3 0 2 16+1
- 6Rasmus Karlsson0 1 01
- 7Jonatan Grahn2 2 15+1
- 2Frederik Jakobsen1 2 1 2 1 18+3
- 3Michael Jepsen Jensen2 3 1 3 1 313+1
- 4Rohan Tungate1 1 2 2 0 28
- 5Kim Nilsson3 0 2 0 05
- 6Philip Hellström Bängs1 0 23
- 7Joel Andersson3 2 05+1
Heat by heat
- Szymon Woźniak · IND3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2
- Frederik Jakobsen · SME1*
- Gleb Chugunov · INDR
- Joel Andersson · SME3
- Jonatan Grahn · IND2
- Philip Hellström Bängs · SME1
- Rasmus Karlsson · IND0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Patryk Dudek · IND2
- Rohan Tungate · SME1
- Tom Brennan · IND0
- Kim Nilsson · SME3
- Joel Andersson · SME2*
- Rasmus Karlsson · IND1
- Szymon Woźniak · IND3
- Jonatan Grahn · IND2*
- Rohan Tungate · SME1
- Philip Hellström Bängs · SME0
- Patryk Dudek · IND3
- Frederik Jakobsen · SME2
- Tom Brennan · IND1
- Kim Nilsson · SME0
- Gleb Chugunov · IND3
- Rohan Tungate · SME2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1*
- Szymon Woźniak · IND0
- Tom Brennan · IND3
- Kim Nilsson · SME2
- Patryk Dudek · IND1
- Joel Andersson · SME0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND3
- Rohan Tungate · SME2
- Frederik Jakobsen · SME1*
- Rasmus Karlsson · IND0
- Gleb Chugunov · IND3
- Philip Hellström Bängs · SME2
- Jonatan Grahn · IND1
- Kim Nilsson · SME0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Frederik Jakobsen · SME2*
- Tom Brennan · IND1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND0
- Szymon Woźniak · IND3
- Patryk Dudek · IND2*
- Frederik Jakobsen · SME1
- Rohan Tungate · SME0
- Gleb Chugunov · IND3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1
- Kim Nilsson · SME0
- Gleb Chugunov · IND3
- Rohan Tungate · SME2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Patryk Dudek · IND2
- Frederik Jakobsen · SME1
- Szymon Woźniak · IND0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 22 → 17 °C
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
- Wind
- 3 km/h SE
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 68 %
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 8 | 16 | −8 | +8 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| IND | SME | IND | SME | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead IND
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gleb Chugunov | 5 | 8.7 | 12 | +3.3 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 6 | 10.2 | 13 | +2.8 |
| Jonatan Grahn | 3 | 2.3 | 5 | +2.7 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 5 | 8.0 | 9 | +1.0 |
| Tom Brennan | 4 | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| Joel Andersson | 3 | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 9.5 | 10 | +0.5 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 4 | 6.9 | 6 | -0.9 |
| Philip Hellström Bängs | 3 | 4.4 | 3 | -1.4 |
| Rohan Tungate | 6 | 9.6 | 8 | -1.6 |
| Rasmus Karlsson | 3 | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 6 | 10.1 | 8 | -2.1 |
| Kim Nilsson | 5 | 9.2 | 5 | -4.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.