Dackarna Målilla vs Kumla Indianerna
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, August 6, 2024 · Skrotfrag Arena, Målilla
Results
- 1Brady Kurtz1 1 3 3 2 313
- 2Timo Lahti3 3 0 06
- 3Rasmus Jensen3 3 1 1 08+1
- 4Dan Bewley0 1 2 14
- 5Andzejs Lebedevs1 1 3 1 28+2
- 6Ryan Douglas3 3 2 311
- 7Tomas H Jonasson2 0 13+1
- 1Patryk Dudek2 2 2 0 2 19+2
- 2Tom Brennan0 2 0 3 0 05
- 3Szymon Woźniak1 2 3 2 2 111+1
- 5Gleb Chugunov2 3 2 3 R 3 R13
- 6Rasmus Karlsson1 1 02+1
- 7Jonatan Grahn0 00
Heat by heat
- Timo Lahti · DAC3
- Patryk Dudek · IND2
- Brady Kurtz · DAC1
- Tom Brennan · IND0
- Ryan Douglas · DAC3
- Tomas H Jonasson · DAC2*
- Rasmus Karlsson · IND1
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC3
- Tom Brennan · IND2
- Szymon Woźniak · IND1*
- Dan Bewley · DAC0
- Ryan Douglas · DAC3
- Gleb Chugunov · IND2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC1
- Jonatan Grahn · IND0
- Timo Lahti · DAC3
- Szymon Woźniak · IND2
- Rasmus Karlsson · IND1*
- Tomas H Jonasson · DAC0
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC3
- Patryk Dudek · IND2
- Dan Bewley · DAC1
- Tom Brennan · IND0
- Szymon Woźniak · IND3
- Patryk Dudek · IND2*
- Brady Kurtz · DAC1
- Timo Lahti · DAC0
- Gleb Chugunov · IND3
- Dan Bewley · DAC2
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC1*
- Jonatan Grahn · IND0
- Tom Brennan · IND3
- Ryan Douglas · DAC2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC1*
- Patryk Dudek · IND0
- Brady Kurtz · DAC3
- Gleb Chugunov · IND2
- Tomas H Jonasson · DAC1
- Rasmus Karlsson · IND0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC3
- Szymon Woźniak · IND2
- Dan Bewley · DAC1
- Tom Brennan · IND0
- Gleb Chugunov · IND3
- Patryk Dudek · IND2*
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC1
- Timo Lahti · DAC0
- Brady Kurtz · DAC3
- Szymon Woźniak · IND2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC1
- Gleb Chugunov · INDR
- Ryan Douglas · DAC3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC2*
- Szymon Woźniak · IND1
- Tom Brennan · IND0
- Gleb Chugunov · IND3
- Brady Kurtz · DAC2
- Patryk Dudek · IND1
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC0
- Brady Kurtz · DAC3
- Gleb Chugunov · INDR
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 → 18 °C
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Wind
- 4 km/h SE
- gusts up to 11 km/h
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 93 %
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–16 | 10 | 5 | +5 | −5 | |
| DAC | IND | DAC | IND | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead DAC
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Douglas | 4 | 6.9 | 11 | +4.1 |
| Timo Lahti | 4 | 5.4 | 6 | +0.6 |
| Brady Kurtz | 6 | 12.5 | 13 | +0.5 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 6 | 10.6 | 11 | +0.4 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 7 | 12.9 | 13 | +0.1 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 5 | 8.0 | 8 | +0.0 |
| Tomas H Jonasson | 3 | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Tom Brennan | 6 | 5.5 | 5 | -0.5 |
| Jonatan Grahn | 2 | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 8.7 | 8 | -0.7 |
| Rasmus Karlsson | 3 | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Patryk Dudek | 6 | 10.8 | 9 | -1.8 |
| Dan Bewley | 4 | 7.1 | 4 | -3.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.