Eskilstuna Smederna vs Piraterna Speedway
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, August 6, 2024 · Eskilstuna Motorstadion, Eskilstuna
Results
- 1Michael Jepsen Jensen2 3 3 3 112
- 2Rohan Tungate1 2 0 14+2
- 3Kim Nilsson2 3 2 2 09
- 4Patryk Wojdyło0 1 0 3 37
- 5Vadim Tarasenko3 2 2 2 211+2
- 6Joel Andersson3 0 14+1
- 7Philip Hellström Bängs1 1 X2+1
- 1Przemysław Pawlicki3 0 3 F 17
- 2Norbert Krakowiak0 2 FX 02
- 3Maciej Janowski1 2 1 04
- 4Oskar Fajfer3 3 1 3 212+1
- 5Piotr Pawlicki1 1 2 1 38+1
- 6Jonathan Ejnemark0 0 11+1
- 7Mathias Thörnblom2 2 3 07
Heat by heat
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2
- Rohan Tungate · SME1*
- Norbert Krakowiak · PIR0
- Joel Andersson · SME3
- Mathias Thörnblom · PIR2
- Philip Hellström Bängs · SME1
- Jonathan Ejnemark · PIR0
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR3
- Kim Nilsson · SME2
- Maciej Janowski · PIR1
- Patryk Wojdyło · SME0
- Vadim Tarasenko · SME3
- Mathias Thörnblom · PIR2
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR1*
- Joel Andersson · SME0
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR3
- Rohan Tungate · SME2
- Philip Hellström Bängs · SME1*
- Jonathan Ejnemark · PIR0
- Kim Nilsson · SME3
- Norbert Krakowiak · PIR2
- Patryk Wojdyło · SME1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Maciej Janowski · PIR2
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR1*
- Rohan Tungate · SME0
- Mathias Thörnblom · PIR3
- Kim Nilsson · SME2
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR1
- Patryk Wojdyło · SME0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR3
- Vadim Tarasenko · SME2
- Joel Andersson · SME1*
- Norbert Krakowiak · PIRFX
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR2
- Jonathan Ejnemark · PIR1*
- Philip Hellström Bängs · SMEX
- Patryk Wojdyło · SME3
- Vadim Tarasenko · SME2*
- Maciej Janowski · PIR1
- Norbert Krakowiak · PIR0
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR3
- Kim Nilsson · SME2
- Rohan Tungate · SME1*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIRF
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Vadim Tarasenko · SME2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR1
- Maciej Janowski · PIR0
- Patryk Wojdyło · SME3
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1
- Mathias Thörnblom · PIR0
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Vadim Tarasenko · SME2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR1
- Kim Nilsson · SME0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 24 → 19 °C
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Wind
- 6 km/h NE
- gusts up to 29 km/h
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 65 %
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| SME | PIR | SME | PIR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SME
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | 0 | 56 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oskar Fajfer | 5 | 8.2 | 12 | +3.8 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 8.7 | 12 | +3.3 |
| Mathias Thörnblom | 4 | 5.0 | 7 | +2.0 |
| Patryk Wojdyło | 5 | 5.4 | 7 | +1.6 |
| Kim Nilsson | 5 | 7.9 | 9 | +1.1 |
| Joel Andersson | 3 | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 5 | 10.0 | 11 | +1.0 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 8.3 | 8 | -0.3 |
| Jonathan Ejnemark | 3 | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 4 | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| Philip Hellström Bängs | 3 | 4.6 | 2 | -2.6 |
| Rohan Tungate | 4 | 6.9 | 4 | -2.9 |
| Maciej Janowski | 4 | 6.9 | 4 | -2.9 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 10.3 | 7 | -3.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.