Vargarna Speedway vs Lejonen
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, August 6, 2024 · Boardic Arena, Norrköping
Results
- 1Jakub Miśkowiak2 2 3 0 2 312
- 2Kevin Juhl Pedersen0 2 1 1 15+1
- 3Jonas Jeppesen2 2 1 0 05
- 4Adam Ellis0 1 0 12+1
- 5Chris Harris1 1 1 03
- 6Ludvig Lindgren2 0 02
- 7Christoffer Selvin1 1 13+2
- 1Dominik Kubera3 0 3 2 08+1
- 2Mateusz Cierniak1 3 2 39+1
- 3Oliver Berntzon1 0 2 36+1
- 4Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 3 3 214
- 5Jaimon Lidsey3 3 2 1 312
- 6Sammy Van DyckR 0 00
- 7Casper Henriksson3 2 2 29+3
Heat by heat
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · VAR2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LEJ1
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · VAR0
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ3
- Ludvig Lindgren · VAR2
- Christoffer Selvin · VAR1*
- Sammy Van Dyck · LEJR
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Jonas Jeppesen · VAR2
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ1
- Adam Ellis · VAR0
- Jaimon Lidsey · LEJ3
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ2*
- Chris Harris · VAR1
- Ludvig Lindgren · VAR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · VAR2
- Christoffer Selvin · VAR1*
- Sammy Van Dyck · LEJ0
- Mateusz Cierniak · LEJ3
- Jonas Jeppesen · VAR2
- Adam Ellis · VAR1*
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · VAR2
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · VAR1*
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ0
- Jaimon Lidsey · LEJ3
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ2*
- Jonas Jeppesen · VAR1
- Adam Ellis · VAR0
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LEJ2*
- Chris Harris · VAR1
- Ludvig Lindgren · VAR0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · VAR3
- Jaimon Lidsey · LEJ2
- Christoffer Selvin · VAR1
- Sammy Van Dyck · LEJ0
- Mateusz Cierniak · LEJ3
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ2*
- Chris Harris · VAR1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · VAR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ2*
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · VAR1
- Jonas Jeppesen · VAR0
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · VAR2
- Jaimon Lidsey · LEJ1
- Chris Harris · VAR0
- Jaimon Lidsey · LEJ3
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ2*
- Adam Ellis · VAR1
- Jonas Jeppesen · VAR0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · VAR3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ2
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · VAR1
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 23 → 18 °C
- Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away
- Wind
- 9 km/h SE
- gusts up to 27 km/h
- Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 74 %
- Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 8 | 16 | −8 | +8 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 11–13 | 4 | 14 | −10 | +10 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| VAR | LEJ | VAR | LEJ | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead VAR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -8 | 15 % |
| 5 | -8 | 18 % |
| 6 | -8 | 18 % |
| 7 | -8 | 13 % |
| 8 | -12 | 2 % |
| 9 | -16 | 1 % |
| 10 | -14 | 0 % |
| 11 | -18 | 1 % |
| 12 | -22 | 0 % |
| 13 | -24 | 0 % |
| 14 | -28 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casper Henriksson | 4 | 5.0 | 9 | +4.0 |
| Kevin Juhl Pedersen | 5 | 2.6 | 5 | +2.4 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 5 | 9.7 | 12 | +2.3 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 4 | 7.1 | 9 | +1.9 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 6 | 10.7 | 12 | +1.3 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 4 | 5.2 | 6 | +0.8 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 13.3 | 14 | +0.7 |
| Christoffer Selvin | 3 | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| Ludvig Lindgren | 3 | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| Jonas Jeppesen | 5 | 7.1 | 5 | -2.1 |
| Adam Ellis | 4 | 4.6 | 2 | -2.6 |
| Dominik Kubera | 5 | 10.6 | 8 | -2.6 |
| Chris Harris | 4 | 6.0 | 3 | -3.0 |
| Sammy Van Dyck | 3 | 3.3 | 0 | -3.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.