Piraterna Speedway vs Vargarna Speedway
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, July 30, 2024 · Fornås Arena, Motala
Results
- 1Maciej Janowski3 2 3 2 212+3
- 3Piotr Pawlicki3 3 3 312
- 4Vaclav Milik2 2 1 1 39+2
- 5Oskar Fajfer2 3 2 0 3 313+1
- 6Mathias Thörnblom1 3 3 1 311+2
- 7Jonathan Ejnemark2 1 0 1 26+1
- 1Jakub Miśkowiak0 2 3 2 18
- 2Marcin Nowak1 0 0 23
- 3Adam Ellis1 1 1 14+1
- 4Jonas Jeppesen0 2 0 02
- 5Chris Harris0 2 2 0 04
- 6Daniel Henderson3 0 1 15+1
- 7Ludvig Lindgren0 1 R R1
Heat by heat
- Maciej Janowski · PIR3
- Vaclav Milik · PIR2*
- Marcin Nowak · VAR1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · VAR0
- Daniel Henderson · VAR3
- Jonathan Ejnemark · PIR2
- Mathias Thörnblom · PIR1*
- Ludvig Lindgren · VAR0
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Vaclav Milik · PIR2*
- Adam Ellis · VAR1
- Jonas Jeppesen · VAR0
- Mathias Thörnblom · PIR3
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR2*
- Ludvig Lindgren · VAR1
- Chris Harris · VAR0
- Mathias Thörnblom · PIR3
- Jonas Jeppesen · VAR2
- Jonathan Ejnemark · PIR1
- Daniel Henderson · VAR0
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · VAR2
- Vaclav Milik · PIR1
- Marcin Nowak · VAR0
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR3
- Maciej Janowski · PIR2*
- Adam Ellis · VAR1
- Jonas Jeppesen · VAR0
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Chris Harris · VAR2
- Vaclav Milik · PIR1
- Ludvig Lindgren · VARR
- Jakub Miśkowiak · VAR3
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR2
- Mathias Thörnblom · PIR1*
- Marcin Nowak · VAR0
- Maciej Janowski · PIR3
- Chris Harris · VAR2
- Daniel Henderson · VAR1*
- Jonathan Ejnemark · PIR0
- Vaclav Milik · PIR3
- Marcin Nowak · VAR2
- Adam Ellis · VAR1*
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR0
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · VAR2
- Jonathan Ejnemark · PIR1
- Jonas Jeppesen · VAR0
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR3
- Maciej Janowski · PIR2*
- Adam Ellis · VAR1
- Chris Harris · VAR0
- Mathias Thörnblom · PIR3
- Jonathan Ejnemark · PIR2*
- Daniel Henderson · VAR1
- Ludvig Lindgren · VARR
- Oskar Fajfer · PIR3
- Maciej Janowski · PIR2*
- Jakub Miśkowiak · VAR1
- Chris Harris · VAR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 23 → 18 °C
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Wind
- 12 km/h W
- gusts up to 29 km/h
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 65 %
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 18 | 6 | +12 | −12 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 10 | 2 | +8 | −8 | |
| PIR | VAR | PIR | VAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead PIR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +12 | 96 % |
| 5 | +14 | 100 % |
| 6 | +16 | 99 % |
| 7 | +20 | 100 % |
| 8 | +22 | 100 % |
| 9 | +22 | 100 % |
| 10 | +22 | 100 % |
| 11 | +22 | 100 % |
| 12 | +24 | 100 % |
| 13 | +28 | 100 % |
| 14 | +32 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piotr Pawlicki | 4 | 8.5 | 12 | +3.5 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 6 | 10.2 | 13 | +2.8 |
| Mathias Thörnblom | 5 | 8.4 | 11 | +2.6 |
| Jonathan Ejnemark | 5 | 3.7 | 6 | +2.3 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 10.0 | 12 | +2.0 |
| Vaclav Milik | 5 | 7.1 | 9 | +1.9 |
| Adam Ellis | 4 | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| Daniel Henderson | 4 | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 5 | 8.4 | 8 | -0.4 |
| Marcin Nowak | 4 | 4.7 | 3 | -1.7 |
| Ludvig Lindgren | 4 | 3.3 | 1 | -2.3 |
| Chris Harris | 5 | 8.9 | 4 | -4.9 |
| Jonas Jeppesen | 4 | 7.4 | 2 | -5.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.