Västervik Speedway vs Eskilstuna Smederna
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, July 30, 2024 · Hejla Arena, Västervik
Results
- 1Robert Lambert1 3 1 3 19
- 2Mads Hansen0 2 0 2 15+1
- 3Jacob Thorssell3 2 2 07+1
- 4Luke Becker1 1 3 05+1
- 5Max Fricke3 3 2 2 010+1
- 6Anton Karlsson2 1 03+1
- 7Bartosz Smektała3 3 0 39
- 2Michael Jepsen Jensen3 0 2 1 3 211
- 3Frederik Jakobsen2 2 1 3 0 210+2
- 4Kim Nilsson0 1 1 1 03+1
- 5Vadim Tarasenko2 3 1 3 1 313
- 6Patryk Wojdyło2 1 0 25+2
- 7Philip Hellström Bängs0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Patryk Wojdyło · SME2*
- Robert Lambert · VAS1
- Mads Hansen · VAS0
- Bartosz Smektała · VAS3
- Anton Karlsson · VAS2*
- Patryk Wojdyło · SME1
- Philip Hellström Bängs · SME0
- Jacob Thorssell · VAS3
- Frederik Jakobsen · SME2
- Luke Becker · VAS1
- Kim Nilsson · SME0
- Max Fricke · VAS3
- Vadim Tarasenko · SME2
- Anton Karlsson · VAS1
- Philip Hellström Bängs · SME0
- Bartosz Smektała · VAS3
- Mads Hansen · VAS2*
- Kim Nilsson · SME1
- Patryk Wojdyło · SME0
- Vadim Tarasenko · SME3
- Jacob Thorssell · VAS2
- Luke Becker · VAS1*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME0
- Robert Lambert · VAS3
- Frederik Jakobsen · SME2
- Kim Nilsson · SME1*
- Mads Hansen · VAS0
- Luke Becker · VAS3
- Jacob Thorssell · VAS2*
- Vadim Tarasenko · SME1
- Philip Hellström Bängs · SME0
- Max Fricke · VAS3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2
- Frederik Jakobsen · SME1*
- Anton Karlsson · VAS0
- Vadim Tarasenko · SME3
- Patryk Wojdyło · SME2*
- Robert Lambert · VAS1
- Bartosz Smektała · VAS0
- Frederik Jakobsen · SME3
- Max Fricke · VAS2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1
- Luke Becker · VAS0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Mads Hansen · VAS2
- Kim Nilsson · SME1
- Jacob Thorssell · VAS0
- Robert Lambert · VAS3
- Max Fricke · VAS2*
- Vadim Tarasenko · SME1
- Frederik Jakobsen · SME0
- Bartosz Smektała · VAS3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2
- Mads Hansen · VAS1
- Kim Nilsson · SME0
- Vadim Tarasenko · SME3
- Frederik Jakobsen · SME2*
- Robert Lambert · VAS1
- Max Fricke · VAS0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 22 → 18 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 7 km/h W
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 58 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| VAS | SME | VAS | SME | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead VAS
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +12 | 98 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bartosz Smektała | 4 | 5.9 | 9 | +3.1 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 6 | 10.1 | 13 | +2.9 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 6 | 8.9 | 11 | +2.1 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 6 | 7.9 | 10 | +2.1 |
| Anton Karlsson | 3 | 1.2 | 3 | +1.8 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 4 | 5.3 | 7 | +1.7 |
| Patryk Wojdyło | 4 | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 9.7 | 10 | +0.3 |
| Luke Becker | 4 | 6.0 | 5 | -1.0 |
| Robert Lambert | 5 | 11.2 | 9 | -2.2 |
| Mads Hansen | 5 | 7.7 | 5 | -2.7 |
| Philip Hellström Bängs | 3 | 4.1 | 0 | -4.1 |
| Kim Nilsson | 5 | 8.4 | 3 | -5.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.