Eskilstuna Smederna vs Lejonen
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, July 23, 2024 · Eskilstuna Motorstadion, Eskilstuna
Results
- 1Michael Jepsen Jensen3 2 1 0 1 07+1
- 2Rohan Tungate2 3 3 0 0 08+1
- 4Frederik Jakobsen0 3 3 1 1 19
- 5Vadim Tarasenko3 2 0 0 27
- 6Joel Andersson3 1 0 15+1
- 7Philip Hellström Bängs2 1 25+1
- 1Dominik Kubera1 1 0 3 38
- 2Mateusz Cierniak0 00
- 3Oliver Berntzon1 2 2 2 29+5
- 4Kacper Woryna2 0 3 3 2 111+1
- 5Bartosz Zmarzlik2 2 3 3 3 316
- 6Sammy Van Dyck0 2 13
- 7Casper Henriksson1 0 12+1
Heat by heat
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Rohan Tungate · SME2*
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ1
- Mateusz Cierniak · LEJ0
- Joel Andersson · SME3
- Philip Hellström Bängs · SME2*
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ1
- Sammy Van Dyck · LEJ0
- Rohan Tungate · SME3
- Kacper Woryna · LEJ2
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ1*
- Frederik Jakobsen · SME0
- Vadim Tarasenko · SME3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ2
- Joel Andersson · SME1
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ0
- Rohan Tungate · SME3
- Sammy Van Dyck · LEJ2
- Philip Hellström Bängs · SME1
- Kacper Woryna · LEJ0
- Frederik Jakobsen · SME3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2*
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ1
- Mateusz Cierniak · LEJ0
- Kacper Woryna · LEJ3
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1
- Rohan Tungate · SME0
- Frederik Jakobsen · SME3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ2
- Casper Henriksson · LEJ1*
- Joel Andersson · SME0
- Kacper Woryna · LEJ3
- Vadim Tarasenko · SME2
- Joel Andersson · SME1*
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Philip Hellström Bängs · SME2
- Sammy Van Dyck · LEJ1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ2*
- Frederik Jakobsen · SME1
- Vadim Tarasenko · SME0
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ3
- Kacper Woryna · LEJ2*
- Frederik Jakobsen · SME1
- Rohan Tungate · SME0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1
- Vadim Tarasenko · SME0
- Dominik Kubera · LEJ3
- Vadim Tarasenko · SME2
- Kacper Woryna · LEJ1
- Rohan Tungate · SME0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LEJ3
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ2*
- Frederik Jakobsen · SME1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 22 → 18 °C
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Wind
- 12 km/h SW
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.3 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 66 %
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 7 | +10 | −10 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 3 | 15 | −12 | +12 | |
| 14–15 | 3 | 9 | −6 | +6 | |
| SME | LEJ | SME | LEJ | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SME
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +8 | 96 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +10 | 98 % |
| 5 | +12 | 97 % |
| 6 | +16 | 99 % |
| 7 | +12 | 99 % |
| 8 | +12 | 98 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | -2 | 33 % |
| 14 | -4 | 8 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Berntzon | 5 | 5.3 | 9 | +3.7 |
| Joel Andersson | 4 | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
| Sammy Van Dyck | 3 | 1.3 | 3 | +1.7 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 6 | 8.1 | 9 | +0.9 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 6 | 15.3 | 16 | +0.7 |
| Philip Hellström Bängs | 3 | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| Kacper Woryna | 6 | 11.3 | 11 | -0.3 |
| Dominik Kubera | 5 | 8.9 | 8 | -0.9 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 5 | 8.1 | 7 | -1.1 |
| Casper Henriksson | 3 | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| Rohan Tungate | 6 | 9.4 | 8 | -1.4 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 6 | 8.5 | 7 | -1.5 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 2 | 2.7 | 0 | -2.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.