Kumla Indianerna vs Västervik Speedway

Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, July 23, 2024 · Kumla Motorstadion, Kumla

Results

IND 40 : 50 VAS

IND

1Szymon Woźniak2 1 0 1 15+3
2Gleb Chugunov3 2 05
3Patryk Dudek2 2 3 2 3 F12
4Bartłomiej Kowalski0 1 2 36+1
5Krzysztof Buczkowski1 2 1 2 28+1
6Rasmus Karlsson2 0 02
7Jonatan Grahn1 1 02+2

VAS

2Bartosz Smektała0 0 00
3Luke Becker3 3 2 3 R 314+1
4Mads Hansen1 3 3 3 2 214
5Max Fricke1 3 1 3 3 011+1
6Anton Karlsson0 F 11
7Jacob Thorssell3 2 2 1 1 110+3

Heat by heat

Heat 164.00 s5:1

Heat 264.50 s3:3

Heat 364.10 s2:4

Heat 463.60 s1:5

Heat 53:3

Mads Hansen · VAS3
Gleb Chugunov · IND2
Jonatan Grahn · IND1*
Anton Karlsson · VASF

Heat 663.60 s3:3

Heat 763.90 s

Mads Hansen · VAS3
Luke Becker · VAS2*
Szymon Woźniak · IND1

Heat 863.50 s3:3

Patryk Dudek · IND3
Jacob Thorssell · VAS2
Max Fricke · VAS1*
Szymon Woźniak · IND0

Heat 964.70 s2:4

Heat 1064.10 s2:4

Max Fricke · VAS3
Patryk Dudek · IND2
Anton Karlsson · VAS1
Jonatan Grahn · IND0

Heat 1163.80 s3:3

Heat 1264.30 s3:3

Patryk Dudek · IND3
Mads Hansen · VAS2
Jacob Thorssell · VAS1*
Gleb Chugunov · IND0

Heat 1364.50 s3:3

Heat 143:3

Heat 1565.70 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Partly cloudy → Cloudy; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature: 21 → 18 °C; Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
Wind: 12 km/h SW; gusts up to 22 km/h; Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0.7 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity: 63 %; Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	11	13	−2	+2
5–7	7	11	−4	+4
8–10	7	11	−4	+4
11–13	9	9	0	0
14–15	6	6	0	0
	IND	VAS	IND	VAS

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead IND

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	+4	85 %
2	+4	86 %
3	+2	77 %
4	-2	46 %
5	-2	47 %
6	-2	48 %
8	-2	48 %
9	-4	28 %
10	-6	15 %
11	-6	12 %
12	-6	6 %
13	-6	4 %
14	-6	0 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Luke Becker	6	7.9	14	+6.1
Mads Hansen	6	9.8	14	+4.2
Bartłomiej Kowalski	4	5.2	6	+0.8
Jacob Thorssell	6	9.4	10	+0.6
Rasmus Karlsson	3	1.7	2	+0.3
Gleb Chugunov	3	5.4	5	-0.4
Patryk Dudek	6	12.5	12	-0.5
Krzysztof Buczkowski	5	8.7	8	-0.7
Jonatan Grahn	3	2.9	2	-0.9
Max Fricke	6	12.2	11	-1.2
Anton Karlsson	3	2.2	1	-1.2
Szymon Woźniak	5	8.4	5	-3.4
Bartosz Smektała	3	3.7	0	-3.7

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 65.7063.50 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 36.7:24.0 outside 3 + 4

Trend ▶ −2.13 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source