Kumla Indianerna vs Piraterna Speedway
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Wednesday, July 17, 2024 · Kumla Motorstadion, Kumla
Results
- 1Szymon Woźniak1 2 2 3 3 112+2
- 3Patryk Dudek3 3 3 2 R11
- 4Bartłomiej Kowalski3 2 1 2 0 210+2
- 5Krzysztof BuczkowskiR 1 2 2 2 29+2
- 6Rasmus Karlsson1 1 02
- 7Jonatan Grahn3 3 1 07
- 1Maciej Janowski2 2 3 3 313
- 2Mathias Thörnblom0 1 0 1 1 R 14
- 3Paweł Przedpełski0 1 2 3 1 07
- 5Piotr Pawlicki3 3 FX6
- 6Jonathan Ejnemark0 0 R0
- 7Vaclav Milik2 2 0 1 1 39+1
Heat by heat
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · IND3
- Maciej Janowski · PIR2
- Szymon Woźniak · IND1
- Mathias Thörnblom · PIR0
- Jonatan Grahn · IND3
- Vaclav Milik · PIR2
- Rasmus Karlsson · IND1
- Jonathan Ejnemark · PIR0
- Patryk Dudek · IND3
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · IND2*
- Mathias Thörnblom · PIR1
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR0
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Vaclav Milik · PIR2*
- Rasmus Karlsson · IND1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · INDR
- Jonatan Grahn · IND3
- Szymon Woźniak · IND2*
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR1
- Jonathan Ejnemark · PIR0
- Patryk Dudek · IND3
- Maciej Janowski · PIR2
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · IND1
- Mathias Thörnblom · PIR0
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Szymon Woźniak · IND2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND1*
- Vaclav Milik · PIR0
- Patryk Dudek · IND3
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · IND2*
- Vaclav Milik · PIR1
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIRFX
- Maciej Janowski · PIR3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND2
- Mathias Thörnblom · PIR1
- Rasmus Karlsson · IND0
- Szymon Woźniak · IND3
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR2
- Jonatan Grahn · IND1
- Jonathan Ejnemark · PIRR
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND2
- Mathias Thörnblom · PIR1
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · IND0
- Maciej Janowski · PIR3
- Patryk Dudek · IND2
- Vaclav Milik · PIR1
- Jonatan Grahn · IND0
- Szymon Woźniak · IND3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND2*
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR1
- Mathias Thörnblom · PIRR
- Vaclav Milik · PIR3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND2
- Mathias Thörnblom · PIR1
- Patryk Dudek · INDR
- Maciej Janowski · PIR3
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · IND2
- Szymon Woźniak · IND1*
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Rain
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 17 → 16 °C
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
- Wind
- 24 km/h SW
- gusts up to 40 km/h
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 1.7 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 15.4 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 90 %
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| IND | PIR | IND | PIR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead IND
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +14 | 100 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +14 | 99 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +14 | 100 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonatan Grahn | 4 | 3.2 | 7 | +3.8 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 9.7 | 13 | +3.3 |
| Bartłomiej Kowalski | 6 | 8.0 | 10 | +2.0 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 3 | 5.3 | 6 | +0.7 |
| Vaclav Milik | 6 | 8.6 | 9 | +0.4 |
| Rasmus Karlsson | 3 | 2.0 | 2 | +0.0 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 6 | 12.3 | 12 | -0.3 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 11.5 | 11 | -0.5 |
| Mathias Thörnblom | 7 | 6.1 | 4 | -2.1 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 6 | 9.3 | 7 | -2.3 |
| Jonathan Ejnemark | 3 | 2.5 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 6 | 11.6 | 9 | -2.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.