Piraterna Speedway vs Kumla Indianerna
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, July 16, 2024 · Fornås Arena, Motala
Results
- 1Maciej Janowski3 0 3 2 19+1
- 2Paweł Przedpełski0 3 1 04
- 3Przemysław Pawlicki2 2 3 2 09
- 4Mathias Thörnblom1 1 13+2
- 5Piotr Pawlicki0 3 2 3 311
- 6Vaclav Milik2 3 1 0 17+1
- 7Jonathan Ejnemark3 1 15
- 1Szymon Woźniak2 3 2 1 1 09
- 2Bartłomiej Kowalski1 F 0 34+1
- 3Patryk Dudek3 3 3 3 1 215+1
- 4Jonatan Grahn00
- 5Krzysztof Buczkowski2 2 2 2 0 210+1
- 6Rasmus Karlsson0 R 00
- 7Tom Brennan1 1 2 04+1
Heat by heat
- Maciej Janowski · PIR3
- Szymon Woźniak · IND2
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · IND1*
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR0
- Jonathan Ejnemark · PIR3
- Vaclav Milik · PIR2*
- Tom Brennan · IND1
- Rasmus Karlsson · IND0
- Patryk Dudek · IND3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR2
- Mathias Thörnblom · PIR1*
- Jonatan Grahn · IND0
- Vaclav Milik · PIR3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND2
- Tom Brennan · IND1*
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR0
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR3
- Tom Brennan · IND2
- Jonathan Ejnemark · PIR1
- Rasmus Karlsson · INDR
- Szymon Woźniak · IND3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR2
- Mathias Thörnblom · PIR1*
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · INDF
- Patryk Dudek · IND3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND2*
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR1
- Maciej Janowski · PIR0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND2
- Mathias Thörnblom · PIR1
- Tom Brennan · IND0
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Szymon Woźniak · IND2
- Vaclav Milik · PIR1
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · IND0
- Maciej Janowski · PIR3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND2
- Jonathan Ejnemark · PIR1
- Rasmus Karlsson · IND0
- Patryk Dudek · IND3
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR2
- Szymon Woźniak · IND1
- Vaclav Milik · PIR0
- Patryk Dudek · IND3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR2
- Szymon Woźniak · IND1
- Paweł Przedpełski · PIR0
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Maciej Janowski · PIR2*
- Patryk Dudek · IND1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND0
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · IND3
- Patryk Dudek · IND2*
- Vaclav Milik · PIR1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR0
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND2
- Maciej Janowski · PIR1
- Szymon Woźniak · IND0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Drizzle
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 → 15 °C
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Wind
- 12 km/h E
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.9 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 82 %
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| PIR | IND | PIR | IND | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead PIR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 7.2 | 11 | +3.8 |
| Jonathan Ejnemark | 3 | 2.1 | 5 | +2.9 |
| Patryk Dudek | 6 | 12.6 | 15 | +2.4 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 8.5 | 9 | +0.5 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 8.7 | 9 | +0.3 |
| Vaclav Milik | 5 | 6.8 | 7 | +0.2 |
| Mathias Thörnblom | 3 | 3.0 | 3 | +0.0 |
| Jonatan Grahn | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 6 | 10.9 | 10 | -0.9 |
| Bartłomiej Kowalski | 4 | 5.3 | 4 | -1.3 |
| Tom Brennan | 4 | 5.4 | 4 | -1.4 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 4 | 5.5 | 4 | -1.5 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 6 | 10.6 | 9 | -1.6 |
| Rasmus Karlsson | 3 | 2.9 | 0 | -2.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.