Dackarna Målilla vs Eskilstuna Smederna
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, July 16, 2024 · Skrotfrag Arena, Målilla
Results
- 1Brady Kurtz3 3 3 2 314+1
- 2Timo Lahti2 2 1 3 19+1
- 3Rasmus Jensen3 2 2 2 211+3
- 4David Bellego1 3 3 07
- 5Andzejs Lebedevs2 3 3 3 112+2
- 6Filip Hjelmland1 3 04
- 1Michael Jepsen Jensen1 0 1 02+1
- 2Frederik Jakobsen0 1 2 1 1 38+1
- 3Kim Nilsson2 2 2 2 08
- 4Patryk Wojdyło0 1 0 01
- 5Vadim Tarasenko1 R 12
- 6Philip Hellström Bängs3 3 1 0 29+1
- 7Joel Andersson2 0 13+1
Heat by heat
- Brady Kurtz · DAC3
- Timo Lahti · DAC2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1
- Frederik Jakobsen · SME0
- Philip Hellström Bängs · SME3
- Joel Andersson · SME2*
- Filip Hjelmland · DAC1
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC3
- Kim Nilsson · SME2
- David Bellego · DAC1
- Patryk Wojdyło · SME0
- Filip Hjelmland · DAC3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC2*
- Vadim Tarasenko · SME1
- Joel Andersson · SME0
- Philip Hellström Bängs · SME3
- Timo Lahti · DAC2
- Patryk Wojdyło · SME1
- David Bellego · DAC3
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC2*
- Frederik Jakobsen · SME1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME0
- Brady Kurtz · DAC3
- Kim Nilsson · SME2
- Timo Lahti · DAC1
- Patryk Wojdyło · SME0
- David Bellego · DAC3
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC2*
- Joel Andersson · SME1
- Vadim Tarasenko · SMER
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC3
- Frederik Jakobsen · SME2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1*
- Filip Hjelmland · DAC0
- Brady Kurtz · DAC3
- Kim Nilsson · SME2
- Philip Hellström Bängs · SME1*
- Ryan Douglas · DACN
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC3
- Kim Nilsson · SME2
- Frederik Jakobsen · SME1*
- David Bellego · DAC0
- Timo Lahti · DAC3
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC2*
- Frederik Jakobsen · SME1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC3
- Brady Kurtz · DAC2*
- Vadim Tarasenko · SME1
- Philip Hellström Bängs · SME0
- Brady Kurtz · DAC3
- Philip Hellström Bängs · SME2
- Timo Lahti · DAC1
- Patryk Wojdyło · SME0
- Frederik Jakobsen · SME3
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAC1*
- Kim Nilsson · SME0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Drizzle
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 16 °C
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Wind
- 5 km/h NE
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 2.4 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 5.1 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 94 %
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| DAC | SME | DAC | SME | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead DAC
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +10 | 98 % |
| 6 | +14 | 99 % |
| 7 | +16 | 100 % |
| 8 | +20 | 100 % |
| 9 | +20 | 100 % |
| 10 | +20 | 100 % |
| 11 | +20 | 100 % |
| 12 | +24 | 100 % |
| 13 | +28 | 100 % |
| 14 | +30 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 10.2 | 14 | +3.8 |
| David Bellego | 4 | 3.4 | 7 | +3.6 |
| Philip Hellström Bängs | 5 | 6.6 | 9 | +2.4 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 5 | 10.4 | 12 | +1.6 |
| Timo Lahti | 5 | 7.7 | 9 | +1.3 |
| Filip Hjelmland | 3 | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 10.7 | 11 | +0.3 |
| Kim Nilsson | 5 | 8.0 | 8 | +0.0 |
| Joel Andersson | 3 | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 6 | 8.4 | 8 | -0.4 |
| Ryan Douglas | 1 | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 3 | 5.4 | 2 | -3.4 |
| Patryk Wojdyło | 4 | 4.6 | 1 | -3.6 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 4 | 6.5 | 2 | -4.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.