Kumla Indianerna vs Vargarna Speedway
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Wednesday, July 3, 2024 · Kumla Motorstadion, Kumla
Results
- 1Szymon Woźniak3 3 1 3 3 114
- 3Patryk Dudek2 3 3 311+1
- 4Gleb Chugunov2 3 2 2 3 315+3
- 5Krzysztof Buczkowski3 3 3 F 2 213+1
- 6Rasmus Karlsson0 1 1 02
- 7Jonatan Grahn2 1 1 15+1
- 1Jakub Miśkowiak1 1 2 2 1 29
- 2Hubert LegowikR 0 00
- 3Marcin Nowak1 0 1 0 02+1
- 4Daniel Henderson0 0 11+1
- 5Francis Gusts2 2 1 R5
- 6Chris Harris3 2 2 2 312
- 7Ludvig Lindgren1 0 0 01
Heat by heat
- Szymon Woźniak · IND3
- Gleb Chugunov · IND2*
- Jakub Miśkowiak · VAR1
- Hubert Legowik · VARR
- Chris Harris · VAR3
- Jonatan Grahn · IND2
- Ludvig Lindgren · VAR1
- Rasmus Karlsson · IND0
- Gleb Chugunov · IND3
- Patryk Dudek · IND2*
- Marcin Nowak · VAR1
- Daniel Henderson · VAR0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND3
- Francis Gusts · VAR2
- Rasmus Karlsson · IND1
- Ludvig Lindgren · VAR0
- Szymon Woźniak · IND3
- Chris Harris · VAR2
- Jonatan Grahn · IND1
- Daniel Henderson · VAR0
- Patryk Dudek · IND3
- Gleb Chugunov · IND2*
- Jakub Miśkowiak · VAR1
- Hubert Legowik · VAR0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND3
- Francis Gusts · VAR2
- Szymon Woźniak · IND1
- Marcin Nowak · VAR0
- Patryk Dudek · IND3
- Gleb Chugunov · IND2*
- Francis Gusts · VAR1
- Ludvig Lindgren · VAR0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · VAR2
- Rasmus Karlsson · IND1
- Hubert Legowik · VAR0
- Szymon Woźniak · IND3
- Chris Harris · VAR2
- Jonatan Grahn · IND1
- Francis Gusts · VARR
- Gleb Chugunov · IND3
- Chris Harris · VAR2
- Marcin Nowak · VAR1*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · INDF
- Patryk Dudek · IND3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · VAR2
- Daniel Henderson · VAR1*
- Rasmus Karlsson · IND0
- Szymon Woźniak · IND3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND2*
- Jakub Miśkowiak · VAR1
- Marcin Nowak · VAR0
- Chris Harris · VAR3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND2
- Jonatan Grahn · IND1*
- Ludvig Lindgren · VAR0
- Gleb Chugunov · IND3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · VAR2
- Szymon Woźniak · IND1
- Marcin Nowak · VAR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 16 → 15 °C
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
- Wind
- 12 km/h SW
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 2.1 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 81 %
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| IND | VAR | IND | VAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead IND
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +14 | 99 % |
| 7 | +16 | 100 % |
| 8 | +20 | 100 % |
| 9 | +22 | 100 % |
| 10 | +24 | 100 % |
| 11 | +24 | 100 % |
| 12 | +24 | 100 % |
| 13 | +28 | 100 % |
| 14 | +28 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gleb Chugunov | 6 | 10.8 | 15 | +4.2 |
| Chris Harris | 5 | 9.9 | 12 | +2.1 |
| Jonatan Grahn | 4 | 3.2 | 5 | +1.8 |
| Patryk Dudek | 4 | 9.6 | 11 | +1.4 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 6 | 12.7 | 14 | +1.3 |
| Francis Gusts | 4 | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 6 | 13.1 | 13 | -0.1 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 6 | 9.9 | 9 | -0.9 |
| Daniel Henderson | 3 | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Hubert Legowik | 3 | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Ludvig Lindgren | 4 | 3.1 | 1 | -2.1 |
| Rasmus Karlsson | 4 | 4.1 | 2 | -2.1 |
| Marcin Nowak | 5 | 6.0 | 2 | -4.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.