Vargarna Speedway vs Kumla Indianerna
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, July 2, 2024 · Boardic Arena, Norrköping
Results
- 1Jakub Miśkowiak2 3 3 2 313+1
- 2Marcin Nowak3 3 0 1 29+1
- 3Hubert Legowik2 0 02
- 4Kevin Juhl Pedersen1 1 2 04+1
- 5Daniel Henderson1 0 01+1
- 6Chris Harris2 3 2 2 110+1
- 7Ludvig Lindgren1 1 1 1 15+1
- 1Szymon Woźniak1 2 3 3 110+2
- 2Gleb Chugunov0 3 0 2 05+1
- 3Patryk Dudek3 2 3 3 314
- 4Tom BrennanR 2 1 03+1
- 5Krzysztof Buczkowski2 3 2 1 210
- 6Rasmus Karlsson0 0 00
- 7Jonatan Grahn3 0 14
Heat by heat
- Marcin Nowak · VAR3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · VAR2*
- Szymon Woźniak · IND1
- Gleb Chugunov · IND0
- Jonatan Grahn · IND3
- Chris Harris · VAR2
- Ludvig Lindgren · VAR1*
- Rasmus Karlsson · IND0
- Patryk Dudek · IND3
- Hubert Legowik · VAR2
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · VAR1*
- Tom Brennan · INDR
- Chris Harris · VAR3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND2
- Ludvig Lindgren · VAR1
- Jonatan Grahn · IND0
- Marcin Nowak · VAR3
- Tom Brennan · IND2
- Ludvig Lindgren · VAR1
- Rasmus Karlsson · IND0
- Gleb Chugunov · IND3
- Szymon Woźniak · IND2*
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · VAR1
- Hubert Legowik · VAR0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · VAR3
- Patryk Dudek · IND2
- Tom Brennan · IND1*
- Marcin Nowak · VAR0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND3
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · VAR2
- Jonatan Grahn · IND1
- Hubert Legowik · VAR0
- Szymon Woźniak · IND3
- Chris Harris · VAR2
- Daniel Henderson · VAR1*
- Gleb Chugunov · IND0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · VAR3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND2
- Ludvig Lindgren · VAR1
- Rasmus Karlsson · IND0
- Patryk Dudek · IND3
- Gleb Chugunov · IND2*
- Ludvig Lindgren · VAR1
- Daniel Henderson · VAR0
- Szymon Woźniak · IND3
- Chris Harris · VAR2
- Marcin Nowak · VAR1*
- Tom Brennan · IND0
- Patryk Dudek · IND3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · VAR2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND1
- Daniel Henderson · VAR0
- Patryk Dudek · IND3
- Marcin Nowak · VAR2
- Chris Harris · VAR1*
- Gleb Chugunov · IND0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · VAR3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · IND2
- Szymon Woźniak · IND1*
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · VAR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 → 17 °C
- Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away
- Wind
- 12 km/h SW
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 67 %
- Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| VAR | IND | VAR | IND | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead VAR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | 0 | 48 % |
| 12 | 0 | 57 % |
| 13 | -2 | 33 % |
| 14 | -2 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 5 | 7.2 | 13 | +5.8 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 11.5 | 14 | +2.5 |
| Marcin Nowak | 5 | 6.8 | 9 | +2.2 |
| Ludvig Lindgren | 5 | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| Chris Harris | 5 | 8.8 | 10 | +1.2 |
| Jonatan Grahn | 3 | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| Kevin Juhl Pedersen | 4 | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| Hubert Legowik | 3 | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 5 | 10.6 | 10 | -0.6 |
| Daniel Henderson | 3 | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 11.8 | 10 | -1.8 |
| Tom Brennan | 4 | 5.4 | 3 | -2.4 |
| Rasmus Karlsson | 3 | 3.7 | 0 | -3.7 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 5 | 10.1 | 5 | -5.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.